**The closely matched market-implied odds favoring a 0.5% (34%) or 0.4% (28.5%) September monthly CPI print reflect uncertainty over energy volatility and core services momentum after August’s 0.4% headline and 0.3% core gains.** Gasoline prices jumped 3.9% in August, driving more than one-third of the increase and lifting energy 2.1% amid higher oil costs and trade tensions, while shelter eased to 3.0% year-over-year. Consumer sentiment fell to 47.8 in early September with one-year inflation expectations rising to 4.6%, the highest since June, per University of Michigan data. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place September year-over-year CPI near 3.43%. Traders are weighing these inputs against the September FOMC meeting and upcoming labor and producer-price releases that could shift the near-term rate path priced into Treasury yields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0,5% 34%
0,4% 29%
0,6% 14%
0,2% 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 oct 2026
≤0,0%
3%
0,1%
5%
0,2%
7%
0,3%
5%
0,4%
29%
0,5%
34%
0,6%
14%
0,7%
7%
≥0,8%
5%
0,5% 34%
0,4% 29%
0,6% 14%
0,2% 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 oct 2026
≤0,0%
$132 Vol.
3%
0,1%
$110 Vol.
5%
0,2%
$149 Vol.
7%
0,3%
$150 Vol.
5%
0,4%
$886 Vol.
29%
0,5%
$3,068 Vol.
34%
0,6%
$149 Vol.
14%
0,7%
$130 Vol.
7%
≥0,8%
$746 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**The closely matched market-implied odds favoring a 0.5% (34%) or 0.4% (28.5%) September monthly CPI print reflect uncertainty over energy volatility and core services momentum after August’s 0.4% headline and 0.3% core gains.** Gasoline prices jumped 3.9% in August, driving more than one-third of the increase and lifting energy 2.1% amid higher oil costs and trade tensions, while shelter eased to 3.0% year-over-year. Consumer sentiment fell to 47.8 in early September with one-year inflation expectations rising to 4.6%, the highest since June, per University of Michigan data. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place September year-over-year CPI near 3.43%. Traders are weighing these inputs against the September FOMC meeting and upcoming labor and producer-price releases that could shift the near-term rate path priced into Treasury yields.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volumen
$5,520Fecha de finalización
15 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**The closely matched market-implied odds favoring a 0.5% (34%) or 0.4% (28.5%) September monthly CPI print reflect uncertainty over energy volatility and core services momentum after August’s 0.4% headline and 0.3% core gains.** Gasoline prices jumped 3.9% in August, driving more than one-third of the increase and lifting energy 2.1% amid higher oil costs and trade tensions, while shelter eased to 3.0% year-over-year. Consumer sentiment fell to 47.8 in early September with one-year inflation expectations rising to 4.6%, the highest since June, per University of Michigan data. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place September year-over-year CPI near 3.43%. Traders are weighing these inputs against the September FOMC meeting and upcoming labor and producer-price releases that could shift the near-term rate path priced into Treasury yields.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$5,520Fecha de finalización
15 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The closely matched market-implied odds favoring a 0.5% (34%) or 0.4% (28.5%) September monthly CPI print reflect uncertainty over energy volatility and core services momentum after August’s 0.4% headline and 0.3% core gains.** Gasoline prices jumped 3.9% in August, driving more than one-third of the increase and lifting energy 2.1% amid higher oil costs and trade tensions, while shelter eased to 3.0% year-over-year. Consumer sentiment fell to 47.8 in early September with one-year inflation expectations rising to 4.6%, the highest since June, per University of Michigan data. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place September year-over-year CPI near 3.43%. Traders are weighing these inputs against the September FOMC meeting and upcoming labor and producer-price releases that could shift the near-term rate path priced into Treasury yields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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