Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, totaling 37 confirmed U.S. animal cases as of July 31, 2026 with none in humans, have prompted state-level disaster declarations but no national emergency. USDA-APHIS leads containment via sterile insect technique releases, enhanced surveillance, and phased southern port reopenings for livestock after initial closures, keeping overall risk low per CDC and APHIS assessments. Key drivers include northward spread from Mexico, livestock industry impacts, and model projections of further cases without intensified barriers. Upcoming USDA updates on sterile fly facility funding and case dashboards, plus any revised epidemiological thresholds, could influence whether federal authorities escalate to a broader national response.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NUEVO
1 ene 2027
August 30
50%
31 de octubre
44%
December 31
43%
$1,412 Vol.
August 30
$30 Vol.
50%
31 de octubre
$0 Vol.
44%
December 31
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, totaling 37 confirmed U.S. animal cases as of July 31, 2026 with none in humans, have prompted state-level disaster declarations but no national emergency. USDA-APHIS leads containment via sterile insect technique releases, enhanced surveillance, and phased southern port reopenings for livestock after initial closures, keeping overall risk low per CDC and APHIS assessments. Key drivers include northward spread from Mexico, livestock industry impacts, and model projections of further cases without intensified barriers. Upcoming USDA updates on sterile fly facility funding and case dashboards, plus any revised epidemiological thresholds, could influence whether federal authorities escalate to a broader national response.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volumen
$1,412Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, totaling 37 confirmed U.S. animal cases as of July 31, 2026 with none in humans, have prompted state-level disaster declarations but no national emergency. USDA-APHIS leads containment via sterile insect technique releases, enhanced surveillance, and phased southern port reopenings for livestock after initial closures, keeping overall risk low per CDC and APHIS assessments. Key drivers include northward spread from Mexico, livestock industry impacts, and model projections of further cases without intensified barriers. Upcoming USDA updates on sterile fly facility funding and case dashboards, plus any revised epidemiological thresholds, could influence whether federal authorities escalate to a broader national response.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,412Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, totaling 37 confirmed U.S. animal cases as of July 31, 2026 with none in humans, have prompted state-level disaster declarations but no national emergency. USDA-APHIS leads containment via sterile insect technique releases, enhanced surveillance, and phased southern port reopenings for livestock after initial closures, keeping overall risk low per CDC and APHIS assessments. Key drivers include northward spread from Mexico, livestock industry impacts, and model projections of further cases without intensified barriers. Upcoming USDA updates on sterile fly facility funding and case dashboards, plus any revised epidemiological thresholds, could influence whether federal authorities escalate to a broader national response.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes