Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman in New York’s 24th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Tenney’s established fundraising advantage exceeding $1.5 million and uncontested Republican primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 89.5%. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic resources and no recent polling shifts or national environment changes that have narrowed the gap. The June Democratic primary outcome and consistent ratings since early 2026 have reinforced expectations of continued Republican control absent major late-cycle developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-24
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-24
$12,158 Vol.
$12,158 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
90%
Partido Demócrata
8%
$12,158 Vol.
$12,158 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,595 Vol.
90%
Partido Demócrata
$4,562 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman in New York’s 24th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Tenney’s established fundraising advantage exceeding $1.5 million and uncontested Republican primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 89.5%. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic resources and no recent polling shifts or national environment changes that have narrowed the gap. The June Democratic primary outcome and consistent ratings since early 2026 have reinforced expectations of continued Republican control absent major late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$12,158Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman in New York’s 24th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Tenney’s established fundraising advantage exceeding $1.5 million and uncontested Republican primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 89.5%. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic resources and no recent polling shifts or national environment changes that have narrowed the gap. The June Democratic primary outcome and consistent ratings since early 2026 have reinforced expectations of continued Republican control absent major late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,158Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman in New York’s 24th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Tenney’s established fundraising advantage exceeding $1.5 million and uncontested Republican primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 89.5%. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic resources and no recent polling shifts or national environment changes that have narrowed the gap. The June Democratic primary outcome and consistent ratings since early 2026 have reinforced expectations of continued Republican control absent major late-cycle developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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