Microsoft's share price, recently trading near $480–$495 after a sharp post-earnings rally, reflects strong Q4 FY2026 results that showed 18% revenue growth to $90 billion and Azure annual run-rate exceeding $100 billion for the first time. The July 29 beat and upbeat cloud guidance lifted the stock more than 15% in a single session, pushing market-implied odds higher amid continued AI infrastructure demand. Recent analyst actions, including Wells Fargo’s August 12 upgrade to a $700 price target, reinforce bullish sentiment on margin expansion and Intelligent Cloud momentum. Offsetting factors include an August 20 ex-dividend date of $0.91 and broader tech volatility that has pressured shares from 2026 highs above $550. Traders will monitor intraday volume and any macroeconomic data releases through Friday, August 21, for resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$440
90%
$450
93%
$460
86%
$470
77%
$480
46%
$490
22%
$500
9%
$510
10%
$520
10%
$530
10%
$540
10%
$550
10%
$560
10%
$0.00 Vol.
$440
90%
$450
93%
$460
86%
$470
77%
$480
46%
$490
22%
$500
9%
$510
10%
$520
10%
$530
10%
$540
10%
$550
10%
$560
10%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft's share price, recently trading near $480–$495 after a sharp post-earnings rally, reflects strong Q4 FY2026 results that showed 18% revenue growth to $90 billion and Azure annual run-rate exceeding $100 billion for the first time. The July 29 beat and upbeat cloud guidance lifted the stock more than 15% in a single session, pushing market-implied odds higher amid continued AI infrastructure demand. Recent analyst actions, including Wells Fargo’s August 12 upgrade to a $700 price target, reinforce bullish sentiment on margin expansion and Intelligent Cloud momentum. Offsetting factors include an August 20 ex-dividend date of $0.91 and broader tech volatility that has pressured shares from 2026 highs above $550. Traders will monitor intraday volume and any macroeconomic data releases through Friday, August 21, for resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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