Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 22 de julio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 22 de julio?
28°C 93%
27°C 4.0%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
NUEVO
$18,573 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,573 Vol.
22 jul 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
93%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
28°C 93%
27°C 4.0%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
NUEVO
$18,573 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,573 Vol.
22 jul 2026
22°C o menos
$216 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$645 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$701 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$746 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,139 Vol.
1%
27°C
$6,261 Vol.
4%
28°C
$5,252 Vol.
93%
29°C
$1,752 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,004 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$368 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$18,573Fecha de finalización
22 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$18,573Fecha de finalización
22 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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