Recent model runs from European and global ensembles indicate a warming trend across northern France, with Paris daytime highs climbing toward 30–35°C by July 28 amid building high pressure and reduced cloud cover. Overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies and lighter winds could allow the minimum to settle near 15–17°C at official urban stations, where the heat-island effect typically moderates extremes compared with rural sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or timing of any passing weak front can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Longer-range guidance shows low probability of significant cooling below 14°C or sustained warmth keeping the minimum above 19°C, reflecting typical July variability around the 14–16°C climatological baseline.