Latest model consensus from the Met Office and GFS indicates overnight lows near 13–14°C in London on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow a damp morning with clearing expected by afternoon, producing a narrower temperature range than climatological norms for mid-September. Traders assign 69.5% implied probability to exactly 14°C and 27% to 13°C because ensemble runs show minimal downside risk below 12°C absent stronger high-pressure development or clearer skies. Updated forecasts released in the past 24 hours have stabilized around these values, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings at representative stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 17 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 17 de septiembre?
14°C 82%
13°C 11%
12°C 2%
11°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
24%
14°C
74%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
14°C 82%
13°C 11%
12°C 2%
11°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$41 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$120 Vol.
2%
13°C
$694 Vol.
24%
14°C
$2,618 Vol.
74%
15°C
$2,279 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from the Met Office and GFS indicates overnight lows near 13–14°C in London on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow a damp morning with clearing expected by afternoon, producing a narrower temperature range than climatological norms for mid-September. Traders assign 69.5% implied probability to exactly 14°C and 27% to 13°C because ensemble runs show minimal downside risk below 12°C absent stronger high-pressure development or clearer skies. Updated forecasts released in the past 24 hours have stabilized around these values, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings at representative stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$5,996Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from the Met Office and GFS indicates overnight lows near 13–14°C in London on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow a damp morning with clearing expected by afternoon, producing a narrower temperature range than climatological norms for mid-September. Traders assign 69.5% implied probability to exactly 14°C and 27% to 13°C because ensemble runs show minimal downside risk below 12°C absent stronger high-pressure development or clearer skies. Updated forecasts released in the past 24 hours have stabilized around these values, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings at representative stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,996Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest model consensus from the Met Office and GFS indicates overnight lows near 13–14°C in London on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow a damp morning with clearing expected by afternoon, producing a narrower temperature range than climatological norms for mid-September. Traders assign 69.5% implied probability to exactly 14°C and 27% to 13°C because ensemble runs show minimal downside risk below 12°C absent stronger high-pressure development or clearer skies. Updated forecasts released in the past 24 hours have stabilized around these values, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings at representative stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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