Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for July 30 amid typical summer monsoon flow and scattered showers, keeping skies mostly cloudy and limiting radiational cooling. These conditions, combined with above-normal seasonal temperatures and high humidity, support the near-even trader split between the two leading outcomes. Key variables include exact rain timing, which could trap heat and push the minimum higher, versus clearer intervals allowing brief dips; updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine this range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 30 de julio?
26°C 33%
25°C 32%
27°C 18%
29°C 15%
21°C o menos
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
14%
24°C
14%
25°C
32%
26°C
33%
27°C
18%
28°C
9%
29°C
15%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
26°C 33%
25°C 32%
27°C 18%
29°C 15%
21°C o menos
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
14%
24°C
14%
25°C
32%
26°C
33%
27°C
18%
28°C
9%
29°C
15%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for July 30 amid typical summer monsoon flow and scattered showers, keeping skies mostly cloudy and limiting radiational cooling. These conditions, combined with above-normal seasonal temperatures and high humidity, support the near-even trader split between the two leading outcomes. Key variables include exact rain timing, which could trap heat and push the minimum higher, versus clearer intervals allowing brief dips; updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine this range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes