Recent forecast models from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a warming trend for Buenos Aires, with the minimum temperature on September 18 expected near 13–15°C under northeast flow and increasing cloud cover. This follows a sharp cooldown on September 16, when readings dipped to around 6–7°C. The closely matched market-implied odds near 48% for both 8°C or below and 18°C or higher reflect persistent uncertainty in springtime steering patterns and model spread on whether a brief cold intrusion or further advection of milder air will dominate overnight. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles will likely clarify resolution thresholds tied to official station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 18 de septiembre?
8°C o menos 96%
18°C o más 96%
9°C 88%
11°C 88%
8°C o menos
96%
9°C
88%
10°C
40%
11°C
88%
12°C
88%
13°C
21%
14°C
88%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C o más
96%
8°C o menos 96%
18°C o más 96%
9°C 88%
11°C 88%
8°C o menos
96%
9°C
88%
10°C
40%
11°C
88%
12°C
88%
13°C
21%
14°C
88%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C o más
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a warming trend for Buenos Aires, with the minimum temperature on September 18 expected near 13–15°C under northeast flow and increasing cloud cover. This follows a sharp cooldown on September 16, when readings dipped to around 6–7°C. The closely matched market-implied odds near 48% for both 8°C or below and 18°C or higher reflect persistent uncertainty in springtime steering patterns and model spread on whether a brief cold intrusion or further advection of milder air will dominate overnight. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles will likely clarify resolution thresholds tied to official station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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