Lee Jae-myung’s position as South Korea’s president, supported by the Democratic Party’s supermajority in the National Assembly, underpins the strong trader consensus against impeachment before 2027. The Assembly requires a two-thirds vote to initiate the process, a threshold the opposition cannot reach without major defections. Lee took office in June 2025 following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal and has maintained approval ratings in the 50-70% range through much of his first year, bolstered by pragmatic policy moves and foreign policy stabilization. A June 2026 opposition petition for impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures yet stalled immediately due to the ruling party’s control of the legislative agenda. No subsequent scandals, legislative defeats, or mass defections have emerged to alter this dynamic. With the next National Assembly elections scheduled for 2028 and Lee prioritizing domestic reforms alongside North Korea dialogue, structural and political barriers continue to anchor the low probability of formal impeachment proceedings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Lee Jae-myung destituido antes de 2027?
¿Lee Jae-myung destituido antes de 2027?
Sí
11% probabilidad
$20,368 Vol.
$20,368 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sí
11% probabilidad
$20,368 Vol.
$20,368 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Lee Jae-myung’s position as South Korea’s president, supported by the Democratic Party’s supermajority in the National Assembly, underpins the strong trader consensus against impeachment before 2027. The Assembly requires a two-thirds vote to initiate the process, a threshold the opposition cannot reach without major defections. Lee took office in June 2025 following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal and has maintained approval ratings in the 50-70% range through much of his first year, bolstered by pragmatic policy moves and foreign policy stabilization.
A June 2026 opposition petition for impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures yet stalled immediately due to the ruling party’s control of the legislative agenda. No subsequent scandals, legislative defeats, or mass defections have emerged to alter this dynamic. With the next National Assembly elections scheduled for 2028 and Lee prioritizing domestic reforms alongside North Korea dialogue, structural and political barriers continue to anchor the low probability of formal impeachment proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$20,368Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Lee Jae-myung’s position as South Korea’s president, supported by the Democratic Party’s supermajority in the National Assembly, underpins the strong trader consensus against impeachment before 2027. The Assembly requires a two-thirds vote to initiate the process, a threshold the opposition cannot reach without major defections. Lee took office in June 2025 following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal and has maintained approval ratings in the 50-70% range through much of his first year, bolstered by pragmatic policy moves and foreign policy stabilization.
A June 2026 opposition petition for impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures yet stalled immediately due to the ruling party’s control of the legislative agenda. No subsequent scandals, legislative defeats, or mass defections have emerged to alter this dynamic. With the next National Assembly elections scheduled for 2028 and Lee prioritizing domestic reforms alongside North Korea dialogue, structural and political barriers continue to anchor the low probability of formal impeachment proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$20,368Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lee Jae-myung’s position as South Korea’s president, supported by the Democratic Party’s supermajority in the National Assembly, underpins the strong trader consensus against impeachment before 2027. The Assembly requires a two-thirds vote to initiate the process, a threshold the opposition cannot reach without major defections. Lee took office in June 2025 following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal and has maintained approval ratings in the 50-70% range through much of his first year, bolstered by pragmatic policy moves and foreign policy stabilization. A June 2026 opposition petition for impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures yet stalled immediately due to the ruling party’s control of the legislative agenda. No subsequent scandals, legislative defeats, or mass defections have emerged to alter this dynamic. With the next National Assembly elections scheduled for 2028 and Lee prioritizing domestic reforms alongside North Korea dialogue, structural and political barriers continue to anchor the low probability of formal impeachment proceedings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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