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Política·Krakao

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia

icon for Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia
Política·Krakao

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia

Łukasz Gibała 61%

Monika Piątkowska 12%

Łukasz Wantuch 9.6%

Rafał Sonik 9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Łukasz Gibała 61%

Monika Piątkowska 12%

Łukasz Wantuch 9.6%

Rafał Sonik 9%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$5,796 Vol.

61%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$142 Vol.

12%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$176 Vol.

10%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$217 Vol.

9%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$76 Vol.

9%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$76 Vol.

8%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$198 Vol.

8%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$133 Vol.

7%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$168 Vol.

5%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$171 Vol.

5%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$247 Vol.

4%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$234 Vol.

4%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$367 Vol.

4%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$172 Vol.

1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$150 Vol.

1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$171 Vol.

1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$164 Vol.

1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds the strongest position in the September 27 snap election triggered by the May 2026 recall of former mayor Aleksander Miszalski, as his local independent movement and prior near-win in 2024 give him broad name recognition and a base outside national parties. Recent IBRiS polling shows him ahead of fragmented rivals, including Monika Piątkowska (backed by KO and PSL), Michał Drewnicki (PiS), Daria Gosek-Popiołek (Left), and lower-polling independents or smaller-party figures. Trader consensus prices reflect this early lead amid a crowded field where no other candidate has consolidated comparable support or endorsements. With first-round dynamics and potential runoffs ahead, Gibała’s odds incorporate his established Kraków-focused platform while acknowledging risks from turnout, late alliances, or shifts in voter preferences before the vote.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volumen
$8,656
Fecha de finalización
27 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds the strongest position in the September 27 snap election triggered by the May 2026 recall of former mayor Aleksander Miszalski, as his local independent movement and prior near-win in 2024 give him broad name recognition and a base outside national parties. Recent IBRiS polling shows him ahead of fragmented rivals, including Monika Piątkowska (backed by KO and PSL), Michał Drewnicki (PiS), Daria Gosek-Popiołek (Left), and lower-polling independents or smaller-party figures. Trader consensus prices reflect this early lead amid a crowded field where no other candidate has consolidated comparable support or endorsements. With first-round dynamics and potential runoffs ahead, Gibała’s odds incorporate his established Kraków-focused platform while acknowledging risks from turnout, late alliances, or shifts in voter preferences before the vote.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volumen
$8,656
Fecha de finalización
27 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Łukasz Gibała" con 61%, seguido de "Monika Piątkowska" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 61¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 6, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia" es "Łukasz Gibała" con 61%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Monika Piątkowska" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cracovia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.