US-brokered direct talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first in decades, have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement focused on phased IDF withdrawals from southern Lebanon pilot zones, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and eventual border security arrangements. Multiple ambassador-level and technical rounds occurred in Washington and Rome through August 2026, with the most recent session described as positive on implementation details such as verification mechanisms and military coordination. A follow-up round is scheduled for September in Rome, while Hezbollah has publicly rejected the process and Lebanese officials continue pressing for faster Israeli pullbacks tied to measurable progress on sovereignty restoration. Trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings reflect the established negotiation track, US facilitation role, and ongoing implementation hurdles rather than any abrupt breakthrough or breakdown.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$83,883 Vol.
30 sep 2026
August 31
12%
9 de septiembre
61%
September 30
78%
15 de septiembre
68%
$83,883 Vol.
August 31
$67,193 Vol.
12%
9 de septiembre
$105 Vol.
61%
September 30
$16,105 Vol.
78%
15 de septiembre
$480 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first in decades, have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement focused on phased IDF withdrawals from southern Lebanon pilot zones, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and eventual border security arrangements. Multiple ambassador-level and technical rounds occurred in Washington and Rome through August 2026, with the most recent session described as positive on implementation details such as verification mechanisms and military coordination. A follow-up round is scheduled for September in Rome, while Hezbollah has publicly rejected the process and Lebanese officials continue pressing for faster Israeli pullbacks tied to measurable progress on sovereignty restoration. Trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings reflect the established negotiation track, US facilitation role, and ongoing implementation hurdles rather than any abrupt breakthrough or breakdown.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volumen
$83,883Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first in decades, have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement focused on phased IDF withdrawals from southern Lebanon pilot zones, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and eventual border security arrangements. Multiple ambassador-level and technical rounds occurred in Washington and Rome through August 2026, with the most recent session described as positive on implementation details such as verification mechanisms and military coordination. A follow-up round is scheduled for September in Rome, while Hezbollah has publicly rejected the process and Lebanese officials continue pressing for faster Israeli pullbacks tied to measurable progress on sovereignty restoration. Trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings reflect the established negotiation track, US facilitation role, and ongoing implementation hurdles rather than any abrupt breakthrough or breakdown.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$83,883Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-brokered direct talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first in decades, have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement focused on phased IDF withdrawals from southern Lebanon pilot zones, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and eventual border security arrangements. Multiple ambassador-level and technical rounds occurred in Washington and Rome through August 2026, with the most recent session described as positive on implementation details such as verification mechanisms and military coordination. A follow-up round is scheduled for September in Rome, while Hezbollah has publicly rejected the process and Lebanese officials continue pressing for faster Israeli pullbacks tied to measurable progress on sovereignty restoration. Trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings reflect the established negotiation track, US facilitation role, and ongoing implementation hurdles rather than any abrupt breakthrough or breakdown.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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