**Recent US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement focused on phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon, Lebanese army deployment, and Hezbollah disarmament, but Hezbollah has rejected the deal outright as invalid and refused participation.** Direct diplomatic engagement between Israel and Hezbollah remains absent, with all negotiations occurring at the state level and Hezbollah continuing to denounce them while linking any concessions to a full Israeli pullback. Follow-up technical rounds in Rome through early August advanced implementation details on borders, verification, and security arrangements yet stalled amid disputes over disarmament sequencing and persistent low-level cross-border incidents. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has sought to advance state control, but Hezbollah’s opposition and Israel’s insistence on maintaining a security presence until threats are eliminated have produced a diplomatic deadlock. These dynamics shape trader assessments of any near-term direct Israel-Hezbollah meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Israel x reunión diplomática de Hezbollah por...?
¿Israel x reunión diplomática de Hezbollah por...?
$93,834 Vol.
30 jul 2026
31 de agosto
1%
$93,834 Vol.
31 de agosto
$86,469 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement focused on phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon, Lebanese army deployment, and Hezbollah disarmament, but Hezbollah has rejected the deal outright as invalid and refused participation.**
Direct diplomatic engagement between Israel and Hezbollah remains absent, with all negotiations occurring at the state level and Hezbollah continuing to denounce them while linking any concessions to a full Israeli pullback. Follow-up technical rounds in Rome through early August advanced implementation details on borders, verification, and security arrangements yet stalled amid disputes over disarmament sequencing and persistent low-level cross-border incidents. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has sought to advance state control, but Hezbollah’s opposition and Israel’s insistence on maintaining a security presence until threats are eliminated have produced a diplomatic deadlock. These dynamics shape trader assessments of any near-term direct Israel-Hezbollah meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volumen
$93,834Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement focused on phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon, Lebanese army deployment, and Hezbollah disarmament, but Hezbollah has rejected the deal outright as invalid and refused participation.**
Direct diplomatic engagement between Israel and Hezbollah remains absent, with all negotiations occurring at the state level and Hezbollah continuing to denounce them while linking any concessions to a full Israeli pullback. Follow-up technical rounds in Rome through early August advanced implementation details on borders, verification, and security arrangements yet stalled amid disputes over disarmament sequencing and persistent low-level cross-border incidents. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has sought to advance state control, but Hezbollah’s opposition and Israel’s insistence on maintaining a security presence until threats are eliminated have produced a diplomatic deadlock. These dynamics shape trader assessments of any near-term direct Israel-Hezbollah meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$93,834Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have produced a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement focused on phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon, Lebanese army deployment, and Hezbollah disarmament, but Hezbollah has rejected the deal outright as invalid and refused participation.** Direct diplomatic engagement between Israel and Hezbollah remains absent, with all negotiations occurring at the state level and Hezbollah continuing to denounce them while linking any concessions to a full Israeli pullback. Follow-up technical rounds in Rome through early August advanced implementation details on borders, verification, and security arrangements yet stalled amid disputes over disarmament sequencing and persistent low-level cross-border incidents. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has sought to advance state control, but Hezbollah’s opposition and Israel’s insistence on maintaining a security presence until threats are eliminated have produced a diplomatic deadlock. These dynamics shape trader assessments of any near-term direct Israel-Hezbollah meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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