The strong Democratic lean of Illinois's 9th congressional district, an open seat following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Daniel Biss secured the Democratic primary in March 2026 after a competitive field, positioning the party to retain the Chicago-area suburban seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, John Elleson, faces structural challenges in a district with consistent Democratic voter registration and turnout advantages. Limited recent developments, including no major scandals or national shifts altering the baseline, sustain the lopsided pricing. A significant Democratic candidate issue, unusually high Republican mobilization, or broader midterm dynamics could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and district demographics make such reversals improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$26,577 Vol.
$26,577 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$26,577 Vol.
$26,577 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$16,936 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$9,641 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Illinois's 9th congressional district, an open seat following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Daniel Biss secured the Democratic primary in March 2026 after a competitive field, positioning the party to retain the Chicago-area suburban seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, John Elleson, faces structural challenges in a district with consistent Democratic voter registration and turnout advantages. Limited recent developments, including no major scandals or national shifts altering the baseline, sustain the lopsided pricing. A significant Democratic candidate issue, unusually high Republican mobilization, or broader midterm dynamics could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and district demographics make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$26,577Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Illinois's 9th congressional district, an open seat following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Daniel Biss secured the Democratic primary in March 2026 after a competitive field, positioning the party to retain the Chicago-area suburban seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, John Elleson, faces structural challenges in a district with consistent Democratic voter registration and turnout advantages. Limited recent developments, including no major scandals or national shifts altering the baseline, sustain the lopsided pricing. A significant Democratic candidate issue, unusually high Republican mobilization, or broader midterm dynamics could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and district demographics make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,577Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Illinois's 9th congressional district, an open seat following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Daniel Biss secured the Democratic primary in March 2026 after a competitive field, positioning the party to retain the Chicago-area suburban seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, John Elleson, faces structural challenges in a district with consistent Democratic voter registration and turnout advantages. Limited recent developments, including no major scandals or national shifts altering the baseline, sustain the lopsided pricing. A significant Democratic candidate issue, unusually high Republican mobilization, or broader midterm dynamics could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and district demographics make such reversals improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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