Current forecast models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Warsaw of 21–22°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly winds, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward these outcomes. Stable high pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed stronger warming or cooling, keeping values near late-September climatological norms with little model spread. Recent runs show consistent afternoon maxima near 21°C, with minor upward revisions in some guidance pushing isolated 23°C scenarios. Traders appear to discount higher or lower extremes given the absence of dynamic weather features, though final resolution depends on official station observations amid typical diurnal and microscale variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 18 de septiembre?
22°C 50%
21°C 36%
23°C 12%
20°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
36%
22°C
50%
23°C
12%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
1%
22°C 50%
21°C 36%
23°C 12%
20°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$538 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$166 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$365 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,791 Vol.
36%
22°C
$2,726 Vol.
50%
23°C
$1,471 Vol.
12%
24°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
25°C o más
$205 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Warsaw of 21–22°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly winds, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward these outcomes. Stable high pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed stronger warming or cooling, keeping values near late-September climatological norms with little model spread. Recent runs show consistent afternoon maxima near 21°C, with minor upward revisions in some guidance pushing isolated 23°C scenarios. Traders appear to discount higher or lower extremes given the absence of dynamic weather features, though final resolution depends on official station observations amid typical diurnal and microscale variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$9,286Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Warsaw of 21–22°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly winds, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward these outcomes. Stable high pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed stronger warming or cooling, keeping values near late-September climatological norms with little model spread. Recent runs show consistent afternoon maxima near 21°C, with minor upward revisions in some guidance pushing isolated 23°C scenarios. Traders appear to discount higher or lower extremes given the absence of dynamic weather features, though final resolution depends on official station observations amid typical diurnal and microscale variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,286Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Warsaw of 21–22°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly winds, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward these outcomes. Stable high pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed stronger warming or cooling, keeping values near late-September climatological norms with little model spread. Recent runs show consistent afternoon maxima near 21°C, with minor upward revisions in some guidance pushing isolated 23°C scenarios. Traders appear to discount higher or lower extremes given the absence of dynamic weather features, though final resolution depends on official station observations amid typical diurnal and microscale variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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