Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas project a Monday high near 97°F under mostly sunny conditions, with a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and a shift to northerly winds that could limit peak heating. This underpins the market's leading implied probabilities on 94–95°F and 96–97°F ranges. Key variables include convective cloud cover or early precipitation that might cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s, versus clearer skies allowing readings near or above 98°F. Late-September climatology around 92°F highlights the current warm anomaly, while short-range model updates and National Weather Service briefings before resolution remain critical for traders assessing uncertainty in storm timing and intensity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 21 de septiembre?
94-95°F 29%
96-97°F 20%
92-93°F 19%
100-101°F 15%
85°F o menos
5%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
15%
102-103°F
3%
104°F o más
4%
94-95°F 29%
96-97°F 20%
92-93°F 19%
100-101°F 15%
85°F o menos
5%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
15%
102-103°F
3%
104°F o más
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas project a Monday high near 97°F under mostly sunny conditions, with a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and a shift to northerly winds that could limit peak heating. This underpins the market's leading implied probabilities on 94–95°F and 96–97°F ranges. Key variables include convective cloud cover or early precipitation that might cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s, versus clearer skies allowing readings near or above 98°F. Late-September climatology around 92°F highlights the current warm anomaly, while short-range model updates and National Weather Service briefings before resolution remain critical for traders assessing uncertainty in storm timing and intensity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes