Trader consensus on this Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability (39.5%) to a 2.4% Core CPI YoY print for September 2026, followed by 2.5% (23.5%) and 2.3% (22.0%), reflecting the August reading and forward indicators. August core CPI eased to 2.4% year-over-year from 2.5%, matching consensus, even as the monthly pace accelerated to 0.3% versus 0.2% expected amid firm services prices. The Cleveland Fed nowcast stands at 2.39% for September, while elevated headline inflation at 3.4% YoY—lifted by gasoline—and the Fed’s 2% target continue to anchor expectations. The October 14 release follows the September FOMC meeting and will resolve outcomes amid ongoing monetary policy scrutiny.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2,4% 40%
2,5% 24%
2,3% 22%
2,2% 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 oct 2026
≤2,0%
5%
2,1%
4%
2,2%
7%
2,3%
22%
2,4%
40%
2,5%
24%
2,6%
6%
2,7%
6%
2,8%
5%
≥2.9%
4%
2,4% 40%
2,5% 24%
2,3% 22%
2,2% 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 oct 2026
≤2,0%
$142 Vol.
5%
2,1%
$142 Vol.
4%
2,2%
$162 Vol.
7%
2,3%
$453 Vol.
22%
2,4%
$1,185 Vol.
40%
2,5%
$268 Vol.
24%
2,6%
$282 Vol.
6%
2,7%
$182 Vol.
6%
2,8%
$142 Vol.
5%
≥2.9%
$349 Vol.
4%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on this Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability (39.5%) to a 2.4% Core CPI YoY print for September 2026, followed by 2.5% (23.5%) and 2.3% (22.0%), reflecting the August reading and forward indicators. August core CPI eased to 2.4% year-over-year from 2.5%, matching consensus, even as the monthly pace accelerated to 0.3% versus 0.2% expected amid firm services prices. The Cleveland Fed nowcast stands at 2.39% for September, while elevated headline inflation at 3.4% YoY—lifted by gasoline—and the Fed’s 2% target continue to anchor expectations. The October 14 release follows the September FOMC meeting and will resolve outcomes amid ongoing monetary policy scrutiny.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Volumen
$3,308Fecha de finalización
15 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on this Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability (39.5%) to a 2.4% Core CPI YoY print for September 2026, followed by 2.5% (23.5%) and 2.3% (22.0%), reflecting the August reading and forward indicators. August core CPI eased to 2.4% year-over-year from 2.5%, matching consensus, even as the monthly pace accelerated to 0.3% versus 0.2% expected amid firm services prices. The Cleveland Fed nowcast stands at 2.39% for September, while elevated headline inflation at 3.4% YoY—lifted by gasoline—and the Fed’s 2% target continue to anchor expectations. The October 14 release follows the September FOMC meeting and will resolve outcomes amid ongoing monetary policy scrutiny.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$3,308Fecha de finalización
15 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on this Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability (39.5%) to a 2.4% Core CPI YoY print for September 2026, followed by 2.5% (23.5%) and 2.3% (22.0%), reflecting the August reading and forward indicators. August core CPI eased to 2.4% year-over-year from 2.5%, matching consensus, even as the monthly pace accelerated to 0.3% versus 0.2% expected amid firm services prices. The Cleveland Fed nowcast stands at 2.39% for September, while elevated headline inflation at 3.4% YoY—lifted by gasoline—and the Fed’s 2% target continue to anchor expectations. The October 14 release follows the September FOMC meeting and will resolve outcomes amid ongoing monetary policy scrutiny.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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