National media coverage of Nigel Farage’s July resignation amid donation scrutiny has elevated Count Binface as the primary challenger in the August 13 Clacton by-election after major parties withdrew. This has concentrated protest and tactical votes behind the novelty candidate, whose campaign pledges and Ipsos polling lead in national preference surveys sustain visibility. Traders price the 10–30% band highest because local Reform loyalty, low expected turnout, and the inherent ceiling for satirical independents constrain broader gains, while any surge in anti-incumbent mobilization could push results toward the upper end of that range before polling day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElección parcial de Clacton: % de votos del conde Binface
Elección parcial de Clacton: % de votos del conde Binface
Binface 10–20% 37%
Binface 20-30% 29%
Binface <10% 22%
Binface 30–40% 5.4%
$197,278 Vol.
$197,278 Vol.
30 jun 2027
Binface <10%
22%
Binface 10–20%
37%
Binface 20-30%
29%
Binface 30–40%
5%
Binface 40%+
3%
Binface 10–20% 37%
Binface 20-30% 29%
Binface <10% 22%
Binface 30–40% 5.4%
$197,278 Vol.
$197,278 Vol.
30 jun 2027
Binface <10%
$73,609 Vol.
22%
Binface 10–20%
$39,171 Vol.
37%
Binface 20-30%
$41,163 Vol.
29%
Binface 30–40%
$23,795 Vol.
5%
Binface 40%+
$19,540 Vol.
3%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).National media coverage of Nigel Farage’s July resignation amid donation scrutiny has elevated Count Binface as the primary challenger in the August 13 Clacton by-election after major parties withdrew. This has concentrated protest and tactical votes behind the novelty candidate, whose campaign pledges and Ipsos polling lead in national preference surveys sustain visibility. Traders price the 10–30% band highest because local Reform loyalty, low expected turnout, and the inherent ceiling for satirical independents constrain broader gains, while any surge in anti-incumbent mobilization could push results toward the upper end of that range before polling day.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Mercado abierto: Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$197,278Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).National media coverage of Nigel Farage’s July resignation amid donation scrutiny has elevated Count Binface as the primary challenger in the August 13 Clacton by-election after major parties withdrew. This has concentrated protest and tactical votes behind the novelty candidate, whose campaign pledges and Ipsos polling lead in national preference surveys sustain visibility. Traders price the 10–30% band highest because local Reform loyalty, low expected turnout, and the inherent ceiling for satirical independents constrain broader gains, while any surge in anti-incumbent mobilization could push results toward the upper end of that range before polling day.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volumen
$197,278Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...National media coverage of Nigel Farage’s July resignation amid donation scrutiny has elevated Count Binface as the primary challenger in the August 13 Clacton by-election after major parties withdrew. This has concentrated protest and tactical votes behind the novelty candidate, whose campaign pledges and Ipsos polling lead in national preference surveys sustain visibility. Traders price the 10–30% band highest because local Reform loyalty, low expected turnout, and the inherent ceiling for satirical independents constrain broader gains, while any surge in anti-incumbent mobilization could push results toward the upper end of that range before polling day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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