The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to deliver a second consecutive 25 basis point hike, lifting the policy rate to 3.00%, has anchored trader expectations for a measured approach at the October meeting. Stronger-than-expected 2026 GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% on semiconductor-driven exports and domestic demand recovery, alongside elevated core inflation at 2.6% in July and a revised 2.5% forecast, supported the tightening. The updated dot plot, with a 3.25% median for the next six months, and Governor Shin’s emphasis on data-dependent, “live” meetings signal a gradual pace. This leaves room for assessment of August–September inflation prints and household debt trends before October, aligning with the 75.5% implied probability of no change versus a 21.5% chance of another 25 bps hike.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin cambios 74%
Subida de 25 puntos básicos 22%
Subida de 50+ puntos básicos 4.4%
Recorte de 25 puntos básicos 4.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 oct 2026
Recorte de 50+ puntos básicos
<1%
Recorte de 25 puntos básicos
4%
Sin cambios
74%
Subida de 25 puntos básicos
22%
Subida de 50+ puntos básicos
4%
Sin cambios 74%
Subida de 25 puntos básicos 22%
Subida de 50+ puntos básicos 4.4%
Recorte de 25 puntos básicos 4.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 oct 2026
Recorte de 50+ puntos básicos
$128 Vol.
<1%
Recorte de 25 puntos básicos
$278 Vol.
4%
Sin cambios
$5,373 Vol.
74%
Subida de 25 puntos básicos
$1,224 Vol.
22%
Subida de 50+ puntos básicos
$219 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to deliver a second consecutive 25 basis point hike, lifting the policy rate to 3.00%, has anchored trader expectations for a measured approach at the October meeting. Stronger-than-expected 2026 GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% on semiconductor-driven exports and domestic demand recovery, alongside elevated core inflation at 2.6% in July and a revised 2.5% forecast, supported the tightening. The updated dot plot, with a 3.25% median for the next six months, and Governor Shin’s emphasis on data-dependent, “live” meetings signal a gradual pace. This leaves room for assessment of August–September inflation prints and household debt trends before October, aligning with the 75.5% implied probability of no change versus a 21.5% chance of another 25 bps hike.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Volumen
$7,222Fecha de finalización
22 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to deliver a second consecutive 25 basis point hike, lifting the policy rate to 3.00%, has anchored trader expectations for a measured approach at the October meeting. Stronger-than-expected 2026 GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% on semiconductor-driven exports and domestic demand recovery, alongside elevated core inflation at 2.6% in July and a revised 2.5% forecast, supported the tightening. The updated dot plot, with a 3.25% median for the next six months, and Governor Shin’s emphasis on data-dependent, “live” meetings signal a gradual pace. This leaves room for assessment of August–September inflation prints and household debt trends before October, aligning with the 75.5% implied probability of no change versus a 21.5% chance of another 25 bps hike.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volumen
$7,222Fecha de finalización
22 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to deliver a second consecutive 25 basis point hike, lifting the policy rate to 3.00%, has anchored trader expectations for a measured approach at the October meeting. Stronger-than-expected 2026 GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% on semiconductor-driven exports and domestic demand recovery, alongside elevated core inflation at 2.6% in July and a revised 2.5% forecast, supported the tightening. The updated dot plot, with a 3.25% median for the next six months, and Governor Shin’s emphasis on data-dependent, “live” meetings signal a gradual pace. This leaves room for assessment of August–September inflation prints and household debt trends before October, aligning with the 75.5% implied probability of no change versus a 21.5% chance of another 25 bps hike.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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