**Trader consensus heavily favors no change at the Bank of England’s September 17, 2026, MPC meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting broad agreement that Bank Rate will stay at 3.75%.** This positioning stems from the Monetary Policy Committee’s July 6–3 vote split, where the majority cited insufficient evidence of persistent second-round effects from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East conflict. Recent Reuters polls show unanimous economist expectations for a hold, supported by July CPI at 2.9% and a still-loosening labor market. While three members favor a 25-basis-point hike to address upside inflation risks, the committee continues to prioritize data on demand and wage pressures. The September decision lacks a full Monetary Policy Report, leaving room for the vote tally and forward guidance to influence subsequent pricing, though any shift would require clearer signals of sustained inflationary pass-through.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin cambios 93.7%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 5.5%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$280,752 Vol.
$280,752 Vol.
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambios
94%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
6%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambios 93.7%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 5.5%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$280,752 Vol.
$280,752 Vol.
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambios
94%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
6%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors no change at the Bank of England’s September 17, 2026, MPC meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting broad agreement that Bank Rate will stay at 3.75%.** This positioning stems from the Monetary Policy Committee’s July 6–3 vote split, where the majority cited insufficient evidence of persistent second-round effects from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East conflict. Recent Reuters polls show unanimous economist expectations for a hold, supported by July CPI at 2.9% and a still-loosening labor market. While three members favor a 25-basis-point hike to address upside inflation risks, the committee continues to prioritize data on demand and wage pressures. The September decision lacks a full Monetary Policy Report, leaving room for the vote tally and forward guidance to influence subsequent pricing, though any shift would require clearer signals of sustained inflationary pass-through.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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