Skip to main content
icon for Baja California Governor Election Winner
Política·México

Baja California Governor Election Winner

icon for Baja California Governor Election Winner
Política·México

Baja California Governor Election Winner

Ismael Burgueño Ruiz 44%

Julieta Ramírez Padilla 27%

Víctor Galicia 19%

Héctor Osuna Jaime 12%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Ismael Burgueño Ruiz 44%

Julieta Ramírez Padilla 27%

Víctor Galicia 19%

Héctor Osuna Jaime 12%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Ismael Burgueño Ruiz

Ismael Burgueño Ruiz

$1,628 Vol.

44%

icon for Julieta Ramírez Padilla

Julieta Ramírez Padilla

$864 Vol.

27%

icon for Víctor Galicia

Víctor Galicia

$217 Vol.

19%

icon for Héctor Osuna Jaime

Héctor Osuna Jaime

$215 Vol.

12%

icon for Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe

Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe

$211 Vol.

8%

icon for Fernando Castro Trenti

Fernando Castro Trenti

$211 Vol.

6%

icon for Evangelina Moreno Guerra

Evangelina Moreno Guerra

$211 Vol.

6%

icon for Daylín García Ruvalcaba

Daylín García Ruvalcaba

$211 Vol.

5%

icon for Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros

Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros

$214 Vol.

5%

icon for Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas

Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas

$211 Vol.

5%

icon for Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega

Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega

$251 Vol.

4%

icon for Montserrat Caballero Ramírez

Montserrat Caballero Ramírez

$211 Vol.

4%

icon for Gina Cruz Blackledge

Gina Cruz Blackledge

$211 Vol.

4%

icon for Armando Ayala Robles

Armando Ayala Robles

$211 Vol.

3%

icon for Gustavo Macalpin

Gustavo Macalpin

$211 Vol.

3%

icon for Karla Ruiz Macfarland

Karla Ruiz Macfarland

$243 Vol.

3%

icon for Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso

Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso

$201 Vol.

2%

icon for Jorge Ramos Hernández

Jorge Ramos Hernández

$211 Vol.

2%

icon for Juan Carlos Hank

Juan Carlos Hank

$211 Vol.

17%

icon for Ana Daniela García Salgado

Ana Daniela García Salgado

$204 Vol.

1%

icon for Gustavo de Hoyos Walther

Gustavo de Hoyos Walther

$211 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Ismael Burgueño Ruiz holds the highest implied probability among listed contenders for the 2027 Baja California governorship, reflecting his position as Tijuana mayor on leave and consistent lead in Morena internal polling for the party nomination. Multiple other aspirants, including Julieta Ramírez Padilla, Fernando Castro Trenti, and several lower-polling figures, keep the field fragmented as the ruling party conducts its selection process ahead of the general election. Recent steps such as Burgueño’s June 2026 leave request to campaign, alongside ongoing preference surveys showing no candidate exceeding 30 percent support in early tests, sustain the distributed trader consensus. Further primary debates, official nomination votes, or shifts in state party alignment could consolidate support and alter shares before the 2027 contest.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volumen
$6,573
Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Ismael Burgueño Ruiz holds the highest implied probability among listed contenders for the 2027 Baja California governorship, reflecting his position as Tijuana mayor on leave and consistent lead in Morena internal polling for the party nomination. Multiple other aspirants, including Julieta Ramírez Padilla, Fernando Castro Trenti, and several lower-polling figures, keep the field fragmented as the ruling party conducts its selection process ahead of the general election. Recent steps such as Burgueño’s June 2026 leave request to campaign, alongside ongoing preference surveys showing no candidate exceeding 30 percent support in early tests, sustain the distributed trader consensus. Further primary debates, official nomination votes, or shifts in state party alignment could consolidate support and alter shares before the 2027 contest.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volumen
$6,573
Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Relacionado

icon for ¿Ganará Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros la elección para gobernador de Baja California Sur en 2027?

¿Ganará Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros la elección para gobernador de Baja California Sur en 2027?

43%
Sí
icon for Will Pavel Jarero Velázquez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?

Will Pavel Jarero Velázquez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?

40%
icon for Will María Fernanda Rivera win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

Will María Fernanda Rivera win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

34%

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Baja California Governor Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 21 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ismael Burgueño Ruiz" con 44%, seguido de "Julieta Ramírez Padilla" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Baja California Governor Election Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 5, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Baja California Governor Election Winner", explora los 21 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Baja California Governor Election Winner" es "Ismael Burgueño Ruiz" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Julieta Ramírez Padilla" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Baja California Governor Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.