China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-on-year, the lowest in six months and below forecasts, reflected persistent food deflation (pork down 13.3%) and softer non-food momentum amid weak domestic demand. Traders price the highest probability on a modest rebound to 0.7%-0.8% for August, citing favorable base effects and seasonal food price gains from vegetable supply disruptions. Core inflation has held near 0.9%, while producer prices eased to 3.5% in July. Market positioning also incorporates subdued overall price pressures from ample supply, cooling energy contributions, and lagged fiscal support, with the August National Bureau of Statistics release expected around September 9.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0.7% - 0.8% 48%
0.5% - 0.6% 28%
0.9%+ 18.0%
0.3% - 0.4% 10.4%
$28,827 Vol.
$28,827 Vol.
≤0.2%
1%
0.3% - 0.4%
10%
0.5% - 0.6%
28%
0.7% - 0.8%
48%
0.9%+
18%
0.7% - 0.8% 48%
0.5% - 0.6% 28%
0.9%+ 18.0%
0.3% - 0.4% 10.4%
$28,827 Vol.
$28,827 Vol.
≤0.2%
1%
0.3% - 0.4%
10%
0.5% - 0.6%
28%
0.7% - 0.8%
48%
0.9%+
18%
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-on-year, the lowest in six months and below forecasts, reflected persistent food deflation (pork down 13.3%) and softer non-food momentum amid weak domestic demand. Traders price the highest probability on a modest rebound to 0.7%-0.8% for August, citing favorable base effects and seasonal food price gains from vegetable supply disruptions. Core inflation has held near 0.9%, while producer prices eased to 3.5% in July. Market positioning also incorporates subdued overall price pressures from ample supply, cooling energy contributions, and lagged fiscal support, with the August National Bureau of Statistics release expected around September 9.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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