Recent August inflation data at 1.7% month-over-month, the lowest since mid-2025 and in line with analyst forecasts, has reinforced expectations for continued disinflation into September under the Milei administration's crawling-peg exchange rate and fiscal measures. Central bank REM surveys project 1.8% for September, with limited dispersion among forecasters, while core measures and regulated prices have shown stability. The tight market-implied odds between the 1.6-1.8% and 1.9-2.1% brackets reflect uncertainty over potential volatility in seasonal food items, utilities, and education costs versus the broader trajectory toward sub-2% prints. September CPI data, due mid-October, will test whether momentum holds amid subdued demand and peso stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoInflación Mensual Argentina - Septiembre
Inflación Mensual Argentina - Septiembre
1,9 a 2,1% 45%
1,6 a 1,8% 44%
2,2% a 2,4% 6.0%
1,3 a 1,5% 3.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 oct 2026
≤0,9%
<1%
1,0 a 1,2%
7%
1,3 a 1,5%
4%
1,6 a 1,8%
44%
1,9 a 2,1%
45%
2,2% a 2,4%
6%
2,5 a 2,7%
<1%
2,8%+
<1%
1,9 a 2,1% 45%
1,6 a 1,8% 44%
2,2% a 2,4% 6.0%
1,3 a 1,5% 3.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 oct 2026
≤0,9%
$243 Vol.
<1%
1,0 a 1,2%
$235 Vol.
7%
1,3 a 1,5%
$218 Vol.
4%
1,6 a 1,8%
$230 Vol.
44%
1,9 a 2,1%
$1,158 Vol.
45%
2,2% a 2,4%
$298 Vol.
6%
2,5 a 2,7%
$236 Vol.
<1%
2,8%+
$250 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0Recent August inflation data at 1.7% month-over-month, the lowest since mid-2025 and in line with analyst forecasts, has reinforced expectations for continued disinflation into September under the Milei administration's crawling-peg exchange rate and fiscal measures. Central bank REM surveys project 1.8% for September, with limited dispersion among forecasters, while core measures and regulated prices have shown stability. The tight market-implied odds between the 1.6-1.8% and 1.9-2.1% brackets reflect uncertainty over potential volatility in seasonal food items, utilities, and education costs versus the broader trajectory toward sub-2% prints. September CPI data, due mid-October, will test whether momentum holds amid subdued demand and peso stability.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,869Fecha de finalización
13 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0Recent August inflation data at 1.7% month-over-month, the lowest since mid-2025 and in line with analyst forecasts, has reinforced expectations for continued disinflation into September under the Milei administration's crawling-peg exchange rate and fiscal measures. Central bank REM surveys project 1.8% for September, with limited dispersion among forecasters, while core measures and regulated prices have shown stability. The tight market-implied odds between the 1.6-1.8% and 1.9-2.1% brackets reflect uncertainty over potential volatility in seasonal food items, utilities, and education costs versus the broader trajectory toward sub-2% prints. September CPI data, due mid-October, will test whether momentum holds amid subdued demand and peso stability.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Volumen
$2,869Fecha de finalización
13 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August inflation data at 1.7% month-over-month, the lowest since mid-2025 and in line with analyst forecasts, has reinforced expectations for continued disinflation into September under the Milei administration's crawling-peg exchange rate and fiscal measures. Central bank REM surveys project 1.8% for September, with limited dispersion among forecasters, while core measures and regulated prices have shown stability. The tight market-implied odds between the 1.6-1.8% and 1.9-2.1% brackets reflect uncertainty over potential volatility in seasonal food items, utilities, and education costs versus the broader trajectory toward sub-2% prints. September CPI data, due mid-October, will test whether momentum holds amid subdued demand and peso stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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