Incumbent Robert Luna holds an 84% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 2026 runoff, reflecting his strong June primary performance (44% of the vote) against a crowded field and his decisive 2022 general-election victory over the same opponent by roughly 21 points. Alex Villanueva trails at 10.5%, consistent with his weaker primary showing (22%) and historical precedent in the nonpartisan contest. The June primary results locked in the Luna-Villanueva matchup for the general election, with no major subsequent polling shifts, scandals, or campaign developments reported through mid-August. Other listed candidates remain at lower implied probabilities given their elimination from the runoff. The race centers on standard factors such as incumbency advantage, voter turnout in Los Angeles County, and any late-cycle issues affecting law-enforcement leadership perceptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner
2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Robert Luna
84%
Alex Villanueva
11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Robert Luna
$3,767 Vol.
84%
Alex Villanueva
$5,117 Vol.
11%
The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.Incumbent Robert Luna holds an 84% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 2026 runoff, reflecting his strong June primary performance (44% of the vote) against a crowded field and his decisive 2022 general-election victory over the same opponent by roughly 21 points. Alex Villanueva trails at 10.5%, consistent with his weaker primary showing (22%) and historical precedent in the nonpartisan contest. The June primary results locked in the Luna-Villanueva matchup for the general election, with no major subsequent polling shifts, scandals, or campaign developments reported through mid-August. Other listed candidates remain at lower implied probabilities given their elimination from the runoff. The race centers on standard factors such as incumbency advantage, voter turnout in Los Angeles County, and any late-cycle issues affecting law-enforcement leadership perceptions.
The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
Mercado abierto: Jun 26, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Volumen
$8,884Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.Incumbent Robert Luna holds an 84% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 2026 runoff, reflecting his strong June primary performance (44% of the vote) against a crowded field and his decisive 2022 general-election victory over the same opponent by roughly 21 points. Alex Villanueva trails at 10.5%, consistent with his weaker primary showing (22%) and historical precedent in the nonpartisan contest. The June primary results locked in the Luna-Villanueva matchup for the general election, with no major subsequent polling shifts, scandals, or campaign developments reported through mid-August. Other listed candidates remain at lower implied probabilities given their elimination from the runoff. The race centers on standard factors such as incumbency advantage, voter turnout in Los Angeles County, and any late-cycle issues affecting law-enforcement leadership perceptions.
The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
Volumen
$8,884Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Robert Luna holds an 84% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 2026 runoff, reflecting his strong June primary performance (44% of the vote) against a crowded field and his decisive 2022 general-election victory over the same opponent by roughly 21 points. Alex Villanueva trails at 10.5%, consistent with his weaker primary showing (22%) and historical precedent in the nonpartisan contest. The June primary results locked in the Luna-Villanueva matchup for the general election, with no major subsequent polling shifts, scandals, or campaign developments reported through mid-August. Other listed candidates remain at lower implied probabilities given their elimination from the runoff. The race centers on standard factors such as incumbency advantage, voter turnout in Los Angeles County, and any late-cycle issues affecting law-enforcement leadership perceptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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