**Heightened U.S.-China tensions and CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H military companies list continue to anchor trader skepticism that Apple will source DRAM from the Chinese supplier in 2026.** Despite Apple’s lobbying for regulatory cover and early testing of CXMT LPDDR5X chips for China-bound devices, lawmakers have signaled strong opposition, raising risks of Entity List escalation or reputational damage. AI-driven memory shortages have pushed prices sharply higher, prompting Apple to explore alternatives to Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron, yet CXMT has prioritized domestic buyers such as Huawei and Xiaomi while rejecting some pricing requests. With no confirmed supply agreement and production capacity constrained, the market-implied odds reflect persistent regulatory, political, and supply-chain barriers that would need to shift materially for a deal to materialize before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
28% Chance
$19,369 Vol.
$19,369 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
28% Chance
$19,369 Vol.
$19,369 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Heightened U.S.-China tensions and CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H military companies list continue to anchor trader skepticism that Apple will source DRAM from the Chinese supplier in 2026.** Despite Apple’s lobbying for regulatory cover and early testing of CXMT LPDDR5X chips for China-bound devices, lawmakers have signaled strong opposition, raising risks of Entity List escalation or reputational damage. AI-driven memory shortages have pushed prices sharply higher, prompting Apple to explore alternatives to Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron, yet CXMT has prioritized domestic buyers such as Huawei and Xiaomi while rejecting some pricing requests. With no confirmed supply agreement and production capacity constrained, the market-implied odds reflect persistent regulatory, political, and supply-chain barriers that would need to shift materially for a deal to materialize before year-end.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
Volumen
$19,369Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Heightened U.S.-China tensions and CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H military companies list continue to anchor trader skepticism that Apple will source DRAM from the Chinese supplier in 2026.** Despite Apple’s lobbying for regulatory cover and early testing of CXMT LPDDR5X chips for China-bound devices, lawmakers have signaled strong opposition, raising risks of Entity List escalation or reputational damage. AI-driven memory shortages have pushed prices sharply higher, prompting Apple to explore alternatives to Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron, yet CXMT has prioritized domestic buyers such as Huawei and Xiaomi while rejecting some pricing requests. With no confirmed supply agreement and production capacity constrained, the market-implied odds reflect persistent regulatory, political, and supply-chain barriers that would need to shift materially for a deal to materialize before year-end.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$19,369Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...**Heightened U.S.-China tensions and CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H military companies list continue to anchor trader skepticism that Apple will source DRAM from the Chinese supplier in 2026.** Despite Apple’s lobbying for regulatory cover and early testing of CXMT LPDDR5X chips for China-bound devices, lawmakers have signaled strong opposition, raising risks of Entity List escalation or reputational damage. AI-driven memory shortages have pushed prices sharply higher, prompting Apple to explore alternatives to Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron, yet CXMT has prioritized domestic buyers such as Huawei and Xiaomi while rejecting some pricing requests. With no confirmed supply agreement and production capacity constrained, the market-implied odds reflect persistent regulatory, political, and supply-chain barriers that would need to shift materially for a deal to materialize before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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