FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup despite geopolitical tensions with co-host United States, including base camp relocation to Tijuana, Mexico, for training while commuting for group-stage matches in Los Angeles and Seattle. Official statements from FIFA President Gianni Infantino, Iranian federation officials, and tournament organizers have dismissed replacement proposals—such as the earlier suggestion to insert Italy—while logistical adjustments like ticket allocations and fan access continue under review. With the tournament opening imminently and no withdrawal announced, trader consensus heavily favors no replacement, as FIFA statutes prioritize qualified teams fulfilling their schedule. A last-minute Iranian pullout due to visa restrictions or security concerns remains the primary scenario that could reopen the field, though recent developments show both sides working toward participation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNo Replacement 99.6%
UAE <1%
Other <1%
Italy <1%
$95,823 Vol.
$95,823 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
No Replacement
100%
UAE
1%
Other
1%
Italy
<1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 99.6%
UAE <1%
Other <1%
Italy <1%
$95,823 Vol.
$95,823 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
No Replacement
$38,216 Vol.
100%
UAE
$6,652 Vol.
1%
Other
$6,625 Vol.
1%
Italy
$40,696 Vol.
<1%
Bolivia
$3,634 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup despite geopolitical tensions with co-host United States, including base camp relocation to Tijuana, Mexico, for training while commuting for group-stage matches in Los Angeles and Seattle. Official statements from FIFA President Gianni Infantino, Iranian federation officials, and tournament organizers have dismissed replacement proposals—such as the earlier suggestion to insert Italy—while logistical adjustments like ticket allocations and fan access continue under review. With the tournament opening imminently and no withdrawal announced, trader consensus heavily favors no replacement, as FIFA statutes prioritize qualified teams fulfilling their schedule. A last-minute Iranian pullout due to visa restrictions or security concerns remains the primary scenario that could reopen the field, though recent developments show both sides working toward participation.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Volumen
$95,823Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup despite geopolitical tensions with co-host United States, including base camp relocation to Tijuana, Mexico, for training while commuting for group-stage matches in Los Angeles and Seattle. Official statements from FIFA President Gianni Infantino, Iranian federation officials, and tournament organizers have dismissed replacement proposals—such as the earlier suggestion to insert Italy—while logistical adjustments like ticket allocations and fan access continue under review. With the tournament opening imminently and no withdrawal announced, trader consensus heavily favors no replacement, as FIFA statutes prioritize qualified teams fulfilling their schedule. A last-minute Iranian pullout due to visa restrictions or security concerns remains the primary scenario that could reopen the field, though recent developments show both sides working toward participation.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$95,823Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup despite geopolitical tensions with co-host United States, including base camp relocation to Tijuana, Mexico, for training while commuting for group-stage matches in Los Angeles and Seattle. Official statements from FIFA President Gianni Infantino, Iranian federation officials, and tournament organizers have dismissed replacement proposals—such as the earlier suggestion to insert Italy—while logistical adjustments like ticket allocations and fan access continue under review. With the tournament opening imminently and no withdrawal announced, trader consensus heavily favors no replacement, as FIFA statutes prioritize qualified teams fulfilling their schedule. A last-minute Iranian pullout due to visa restrictions or security concerns remains the primary scenario that could reopen the field, though recent developments show both sides working toward participation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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