Tesla's share price distribution for the week of August 17 shows closely matched implied probabilities across the $330–$345 range, with no single bucket exceeding 18%, signaling trader uncertainty over near-term momentum. Recent production figures, margin trends, and EV demand indicators have failed to establish a clear directional bias, while broader market volatility and sector rotation continue to influence positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include any fresh regulatory or competitive updates that could shift volume and analyst revisions ahead of resolution. This skin-in-the-game consensus captures the balance of bullish valuation multiples against downside risks from execution and macroeconomic factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$335-$340 18%
$340-$345 17%
$330-$335 16%
$345-$350 14%
<$320
12%
$320-$325
7%
$325-$330
10%
$330-$335
16%
$335-$340
18%
$340-$345
17%
$345-$350
14%
$350-$355
8%
$355-$360
8%
$360-$365
7%
>$365
9%
$335-$340 18%
$340-$345 17%
$330-$335 16%
$345-$350 14%
<$320
12%
$320-$325
7%
$325-$330
10%
$330-$335
16%
$335-$340
18%
$340-$345
17%
$345-$350
14%
$350-$355
8%
$355-$360
8%
$360-$365
7%
>$365
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla's share price distribution for the week of August 17 shows closely matched implied probabilities across the $330–$345 range, with no single bucket exceeding 18%, signaling trader uncertainty over near-term momentum. Recent production figures, margin trends, and EV demand indicators have failed to establish a clear directional bias, while broader market volatility and sector rotation continue to influence positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include any fresh regulatory or competitive updates that could shift volume and analyst revisions ahead of resolution. This skin-in-the-game consensus captures the balance of bullish valuation multiples against downside risks from execution and macroeconomic factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen