Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $550 million in its first 10 days have anchored trader sentiment around an 800–900 million or higher total by August 31. The film’s legs remain robust thanks to strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings from the Tom Holland–Zendaya fanbase, and premium-format holdover, mirroring the trajectory of prior summer tentpoles that maintained 1.5× or better multipliers despite August release timing. With only three weeks remaining before the market resolves, momentum from the biggest Tuesday ever ($42 million) and continued front-loaded business points to limited downside risk, while any sustained second-weekend drop above 55 percent could cap upside near the lower end of the 800–900 million band. Precedent from comparable Marvel entries released late in the summer supports the current implied-probability split.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Gesamt-Bruttoinlandsprodukt bis zum 31. August?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Gesamt-Bruttoinlandsprodukt bis zum 31. August?
900 Mio.+ 68.5%
800 - 900 Mio. 32%
700 - 800 Mio. <1%
<400 Mio. <1%
$688,452 Vol.
$688,452 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
<400 Mio.
<1%
400 - 500 Mio.
<1%
500 - 600 Mio.
<1%
600 - 700 Mio.
<1%
700 - 800 Mio.
1%
800 - 900 Mio.
32%
900 Mio.+
68%
900 Mio.+ 68.5%
800 - 900 Mio. 32%
700 - 800 Mio. <1%
<400 Mio. <1%
$688,452 Vol.
$688,452 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
<400 Mio.
$6,210 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 Mio.
$21,005 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 Mio.
$26,654 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 Mio.
$39,584 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800 Mio.
$53,074 Vol.
1%
800 - 900 Mio.
$98,885 Vol.
32%
900 Mio.+
$443,497 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $550 million in its first 10 days have anchored trader sentiment around an 800–900 million or higher total by August 31. The film’s legs remain robust thanks to strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings from the Tom Holland–Zendaya fanbase, and premium-format holdover, mirroring the trajectory of prior summer tentpoles that maintained 1.5× or better multipliers despite August release timing. With only three weeks remaining before the market resolves, momentum from the biggest Tuesday ever ($42 million) and continued front-loaded business points to limited downside risk, while any sustained second-weekend drop above 55 percent could cap upside near the lower end of the 800–900 million band. Precedent from comparable Marvel entries released late in the summer supports the current implied-probability split.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$688,452Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $550 million in its first 10 days have anchored trader sentiment around an 800–900 million or higher total by August 31. The film’s legs remain robust thanks to strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings from the Tom Holland–Zendaya fanbase, and premium-format holdover, mirroring the trajectory of prior summer tentpoles that maintained 1.5× or better multipliers despite August release timing. With only three weeks remaining before the market resolves, momentum from the biggest Tuesday ever ($42 million) and continued front-loaded business points to limited downside risk, while any sustained second-weekend drop above 55 percent could cap upside near the lower end of the 800–900 million band. Precedent from comparable Marvel entries released late in the summer supports the current implied-probability split.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$688,452Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $550 million in its first 10 days have anchored trader sentiment around an 800–900 million or higher total by August 31. The film’s legs remain robust thanks to strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings from the Tom Holland–Zendaya fanbase, and premium-format holdover, mirroring the trajectory of prior summer tentpoles that maintained 1.5× or better multipliers despite August release timing. With only three weeks remaining before the market resolves, momentum from the biggest Tuesday ever ($42 million) and continued front-loaded business points to limited downside risk, while any sustained second-weekend drop above 55 percent could cap upside near the lower end of the 800–900 million band. Precedent from comparable Marvel entries released late in the summer supports the current implied-probability split.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
47%
Wird das Einspielergebnis von „Spider-Man: Brand New Day“ am zweiten Wochenende zwischen 140 Mio. und 150 Mio. liegen?
93%
Ja
Wird das gesamte Inlandseinkommen für Die Odyssee bis zum 31. August mindestens 350 Mio. betragen?
99%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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