**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening, the biggest ever, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, strong reviews (90% on Rotten Tomatoes), and massive MCU fan excitement following its July 31 release. That debut, paired with rapid progress past $1 billion worldwide and standout midweek holds like the biggest Tuesday in history, has anchored trader expectations for a solid sophomore frame in the 140-150 million range. Historical precedent for tentpoles suggests a 55-65% drop is typical, especially in the August corridor, though positive audience scores and IMAX play could support better retention. An upset below 140 million would require an unusually steep decline from word-of-mouth fatigue or unexpected competition, while a surprise above 160 million would need exceptional legs exceeding most comparable blockbusters.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2. Wochenendkasse (niedrigere Treffer)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2. Wochenendkasse (niedrigere Treffer)
140-150 Mio. 93%
150-160 Mio. 4%
130-140 Mio. 1.3%
<130 Mio. <1%
$111,122 Vol.
$111,122 Vol.
9. Aug. 2026
<130 Mio.
<1%
130-140 Mio.
1%
140-150 Mio.
93%
150-160 Mio.
4%
160-170 Mio.
<1%
170-180 Mio.
<1%
180 Mio.+
<1%
140-150 Mio. 93%
150-160 Mio. 4%
130-140 Mio. 1.3%
<130 Mio. <1%
$111,122 Vol.
$111,122 Vol.
9. Aug. 2026
<130 Mio.
$4,980 Vol.
<1%
130-140 Mio.
$14,823 Vol.
1%
140-150 Mio.
$21,935 Vol.
93%
150-160 Mio.
$26,814 Vol.
4%
160-170 Mio.
$24,259 Vol.
<1%
170-180 Mio.
$13,389 Vol.
<1%
180 Mio.+
$4,922 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening, the biggest ever, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, strong reviews (90% on Rotten Tomatoes), and massive MCU fan excitement following its July 31 release. That debut, paired with rapid progress past $1 billion worldwide and standout midweek holds like the biggest Tuesday in history, has anchored trader expectations for a solid sophomore frame in the 140-150 million range. Historical precedent for tentpoles suggests a 55-65% drop is typical, especially in the August corridor, though positive audience scores and IMAX play could support better retention. An upset below 140 million would require an unusually steep decline from word-of-mouth fatigue or unexpected competition, while a surprise above 160 million would need exceptional legs exceeding most comparable blockbusters.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Volumen
$111,122Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening, the biggest ever, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, strong reviews (90% on Rotten Tomatoes), and massive MCU fan excitement following its July 31 release. That debut, paired with rapid progress past $1 billion worldwide and standout midweek holds like the biggest Tuesday in history, has anchored trader expectations for a solid sophomore frame in the 140-150 million range. Historical precedent for tentpoles suggests a 55-65% drop is typical, especially in the August corridor, though positive audience scores and IMAX play could support better retention. An upset below 140 million would require an unusually steep decline from word-of-mouth fatigue or unexpected competition, while a surprise above 160 million would need exceptional legs exceeding most comparable blockbusters.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$111,122Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening, the biggest ever, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, strong reviews (90% on Rotten Tomatoes), and massive MCU fan excitement following its July 31 release. That debut, paired with rapid progress past $1 billion worldwide and standout midweek holds like the biggest Tuesday in history, has anchored trader expectations for a solid sophomore frame in the 140-150 million range. Historical precedent for tentpoles suggests a 55-65% drop is typical, especially in the August corridor, though positive audience scores and IMAX play could support better retention. An upset below 140 million would require an unusually steep decline from word-of-mouth fatigue or unexpected competition, while a surprise above 160 million would need exceptional legs exceeding most comparable blockbusters.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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