SpaceX (SPCX) shares have rebounded sharply from post-IPO lows near $105 after Q2 results highlighted robust revenue growth alongside $28.5 billion in first-half capex and sharply negative free cash flow. The stock crossed back above its $135 IPO price on August 10 and traded near $145-148 intraday on August 17 amid heavy volume and short covering, with the first major lock-up expiration passing without widespread insider sales. Market-implied odds cluster tightly in the $140-150 range because traders weigh continued Starship progress and analyst buy ratings (targets to $200+) against ongoing dilution risks and the August 20 lock-up deadline. These dynamics reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on near-term price stability around current levels.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpaceX (SPCX) schließt die Woche vom 17. August um ___?
140–145 $ 23%
145–150 $ 22%
$150–$155 19%
$135-$140 13%
<120$
11%
$120-$125
11%
$125–$130
11%
$130-$135
10%
$135-$140
13%
140–145 $
23%
145–150 $
22%
$150–$155
19%
$155-$160
9%
$160-$165
11%
>$165
10%
140–145 $ 23%
145–150 $ 22%
$150–$155 19%
$135-$140 13%
<120$
11%
$120-$125
11%
$125–$130
11%
$130-$135
10%
$135-$140
13%
140–145 $
23%
145–150 $
22%
$150–$155
19%
$155-$160
9%
$160-$165
11%
>$165
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares have rebounded sharply from post-IPO lows near $105 after Q2 results highlighted robust revenue growth alongside $28.5 billion in first-half capex and sharply negative free cash flow. The stock crossed back above its $135 IPO price on August 10 and traded near $145-148 intraday on August 17 amid heavy volume and short covering, with the first major lock-up expiration passing without widespread insider sales. Market-implied odds cluster tightly in the $140-150 range because traders weigh continued Starship progress and analyst buy ratings (targets to $200+) against ongoing dilution risks and the August 20 lock-up deadline. These dynamics reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on near-term price stability around current levels.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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