Robust industrial demand from solar, EVs, and electronics, combined with a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit, anchors trader consensus around the $60–$80 settlement range for June silver futures, reflected in the 37.4% and 23.1% implied probabilities for those buckets. Prices surged over 130% in 2025 amid tightening physical inventories before moderating near $68–$84 in mid-2026, with analysts at J.P. Morgan projecting an $81 average for the year. Recent bank revisions, including UBS lowering targets on potential demand destruction at elevated levels, have tempered upside bets while macroeconomic factors like Fed policy signals and USD strength introduce volatility. Upcoming inflation data and monetary policy updates could shift positioning ahead of month-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWorauf wird sich Silver (SI) im Juni einigen?
$60-$70 37.5%
$70-$80 23.2%
$50-$60 19.2%
80–90 $ 7%
$742,149 Vol.
$742,149 Vol.
<50 $
2%
$50-$60
19%
$60-$70
37%
$70-$80
23%
80–90 $
7%
$90-$100
2%
$100-$115
1%
>115 $
1%
$60-$70 37.5%
$70-$80 23.2%
$50-$60 19.2%
80–90 $ 7%
$742,149 Vol.
$742,149 Vol.
<50 $
2%
$50-$60
19%
$60-$70
37%
$70-$80
23%
80–90 $
7%
$90-$100
2%
$100-$115
1%
>115 $
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Robust industrial demand from solar, EVs, and electronics, combined with a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit, anchors trader consensus around the $60–$80 settlement range for June silver futures, reflected in the 37.4% and 23.1% implied probabilities for those buckets. Prices surged over 130% in 2025 amid tightening physical inventories before moderating near $68–$84 in mid-2026, with analysts at J.P. Morgan projecting an $81 average for the year. Recent bank revisions, including UBS lowering targets on potential demand destruction at elevated levels, have tempered upside bets while macroeconomic factors like Fed policy signals and USD strength introduce volatility. Upcoming inflation data and monetary policy updates could shift positioning ahead of month-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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