Skip to main content
icon for Sitze im Republikanischen Repräsentantenhaus nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026?
Politik·US-Wahl

Sitze im Republikanischen Repräsentantenhaus nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026?

icon for Sitze im Republikanischen Repräsentantenhaus nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026?
Politik·US-Wahl

Sitze im Republikanischen Repräsentantenhaus nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026?

Unter 190 24%

190-194 13%

195-199 12%

200-204 11.6%

Polymarket

$286,502 Vol.

Unter 190 24%

190-194 13%

195-199 12%

200-204 11.6%

Polymarket

$286,502 Vol.

Unter 190

$32,984 Vol.

24%

190-194

$13,778 Vol.

13%

195-199

$32,609 Vol.

12%

200-204

$24,750 Vol.

12%

205–209

$40,227 Vol.

11%

210-214

$15,669 Vol.

9%

215-219

$11,450 Vol.

7%

220-224

$59,267 Vol.

8%

225-229

$24,767 Vol.

7%

230+

$31,001 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority of roughly 218-220 seats entering the 2026 midterms. Trader pricing across seat ranges, with the highest probability on outcomes below 190, reflects the historical midterm penalty for the president's party, Democratic leads in generic ballot polling, and Cook Political Report ratings identifying 19 toss-ups plus additional lean-Republican districts at risk. Redistricting changes in several states have altered the map modestly in the GOP's favor, yet forecasts from multiple models still project net Democratic gains sufficient to flip control in most simulations. Key differentiators among ranges include the final tally of competitive seats resolved in battlegrounds, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and any late shifts in the national environment.

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$286,502
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority of roughly 218-220 seats entering the 2026 midterms. Trader pricing across seat ranges, with the highest probability on outcomes below 190, reflects the historical midterm penalty for the president's party, Democratic leads in generic ballot polling, and Cook Political Report ratings identifying 19 toss-ups plus additional lean-Republican districts at risk. Redistricting changes in several states have altered the map modestly in the GOP's favor, yet forecasts from multiple models still project net Democratic gains sufficient to flip control in most simulations. Key differentiators among ranges include the final tally of competitive seats resolved in battlegrounds, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and any late shifts in the national environment.

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$286,502
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026 47 oder weniger Senatssitze halten?

Wird die Republikanische Partei nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026 47 oder weniger Senatssitze halten?

28%
Ja
icon for Werden die Republikaner nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026 47–49 Senatssitze und 193–207 Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus halten?

Werden die Republikaner nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026 47–49 Senatssitze und 193–207 Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus halten?

22%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026 das Repräsentantenhaus kontrollieren?

Wird die Demokratische Partei nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026 das Repräsentantenhaus kontrollieren?

88%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Sitze im Republikanischen Repräsentantenhaus nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Unter 190" mit 24%, gefolgt von „190-194" mit 13%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 24¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Sitze im Republikanischen Repräsentantenhaus nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $286.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 18, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Sitze im Republikanischen Repräsentantenhaus nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Sitze im Republikanischen Repräsentantenhaus nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026?" ist „Unter 190" mit 24%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „190-194" mit 13%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Sitze im Republikanischen Repräsentantenhaus nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.