Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Moscow and surrounding regions have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports, often under emergency air defense protocols that halt arrivals and departures. Multiple suspensions occurred in June 2026 amid large-scale drone assaults, followed by July airspace changes banning transit flights and lowering altitudes through at least mid-August for safety reasons. These measures reflect standard responses to verified aerial threats in the ongoing conflict. Trader consensus on near-term suspension probabilities incorporates the frequency of such incidents, with escalation or de-escalation in drone activity, official NOTAM updates, and any diplomatic signals serving as key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution deadlines.