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icon for Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Welt·Weltwahlen

Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Welt·Weltwahlen

Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Nathalie Roy 76%

Jean-François Cloutier 26%

Mathieu Lavoie <1%

Ginette Langlois <1%

Polymarket
NEU

Nathalie Roy 76%

Jean-François Cloutier 26%

Mathieu Lavoie <1%

Ginette Langlois <1%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Nathalie Roy

Nathalie Roy

$1,342 Vol.

76%

icon for Jean-François Cloutier

Jean-François Cloutier

$537 Vol.

26%

icon for Mathieu Lavoie

Mathieu Lavoie

$479 Vol.

1%

icon for Ginette Langlois

Ginette Langlois

$734 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Nathalie Roy's position as the long-serving CAQ incumbent and National Assembly President underpins her leading trader consensus in the Montarville riding ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election. Recent polling aggregates project CAQ support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range locally, ahead of the PQ, with Roy having represented the Boucherville and Saint-Bruno area since 2012 and securing re-election in 2022. The writ drop in late August and her August confirmation as the CAQ candidate have reinforced expectations of continuity, while challengers including PQ's Jean-François Cloutier, Liberal Mathieu Lavoie, and QS's Ginette Langlois show limited momentum in current models. Nomination deadlines and final campaign developments could still shift narrower margins.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$3,091
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Nathalie Roy's position as the long-serving CAQ incumbent and National Assembly President underpins her leading trader consensus in the Montarville riding ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election. Recent polling aggregates project CAQ support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range locally, ahead of the PQ, with Roy having represented the Boucherville and Saint-Bruno area since 2012 and securing re-election in 2022. The writ drop in late August and her August confirmation as the CAQ candidate have reinforced expectations of continuity, while challengers including PQ's Jean-François Cloutier, Liberal Mathieu Lavoie, and QS's Ginette Langlois show limited momentum in current models. Nomination deadlines and final campaign developments could still shift narrower margins.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$3,091
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Nathalie Roy" mit 76%, gefolgt von „Jean-François Cloutier" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 76¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ist „Nathalie Roy" mit 76%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Jean-François Cloutier" mit 26%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.