Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent. Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination on August 11, 2026, with more than 80 percent of the primary vote against multiple challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a low-turnout primary. The district's Minneapolis-centered electorate, strong historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, and absence of competitive general-election polling sustain trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late scandal, health development, or unprecedented national swing capable of eroding the structural advantage before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMN-05 Wahlsieger
MN-05 Wahlsieger
$48,403 Vol.
$48,403 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
96%
Republikanische Partei
2%
$48,403 Vol.
$48,403 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$18,221 Vol.
96%
Republikanische Partei
$30,182 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent. Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination on August 11, 2026, with more than 80 percent of the primary vote against multiple challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a low-turnout primary. The district's Minneapolis-centered electorate, strong historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, and absence of competitive general-election polling sustain trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late scandal, health development, or unprecedented national swing capable of eroding the structural advantage before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$48,403Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent. Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination on August 11, 2026, with more than 80 percent of the primary vote against multiple challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a low-turnout primary. The district's Minneapolis-centered electorate, strong historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, and absence of competitive general-election polling sustain trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late scandal, health development, or unprecedented national swing capable of eroding the structural advantage before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$48,403Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent. Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination on August 11, 2026, with more than 80 percent of the primary vote against multiple challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a low-turnout primary. The district's Minneapolis-centered electorate, strong historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, and absence of competitive general-election polling sustain trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late scandal, health development, or unprecedented national swing capable of eroding the structural advantage before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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