Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District heading into the August 11 primaries and November general election. The agriculture-focused southern Minnesota seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and receives Likely Republican or Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Finstad won his most recent general election with 58.5 percent. Early 2026 polling showed a narrower race, with one Democratic-sponsored survey placing him at 44 percent against Democratic primary candidate Jake Johnson at 41 percent, while a later Republican-sponsored poll had Finstad ahead 52-42. Traders appear to weigh the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s partisan baseline more heavily than those initial surveys when pricing the Republican Party outcome near 75 percent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMN-01 Wahlsieger
MN-01 Wahlsieger
$19,551 Vol.
$19,551 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
75%
Demokratische Partei
27%
$19,551 Vol.
$19,551 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$9,342 Vol.
75%
Demokratische Partei
$10,209 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District heading into the August 11 primaries and November general election. The agriculture-focused southern Minnesota seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and receives Likely Republican or Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Finstad won his most recent general election with 58.5 percent. Early 2026 polling showed a narrower race, with one Democratic-sponsored survey placing him at 44 percent against Democratic primary candidate Jake Johnson at 41 percent, while a later Republican-sponsored poll had Finstad ahead 52-42. Traders appear to weigh the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s partisan baseline more heavily than those initial surveys when pricing the Republican Party outcome near 75 percent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$19,551Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District heading into the August 11 primaries and November general election. The agriculture-focused southern Minnesota seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and receives Likely Republican or Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Finstad won his most recent general election with 58.5 percent. Early 2026 polling showed a narrower race, with one Democratic-sponsored survey placing him at 44 percent against Democratic primary candidate Jake Johnson at 41 percent, while a later Republican-sponsored poll had Finstad ahead 52-42. Traders appear to weigh the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s partisan baseline more heavily than those initial surveys when pricing the Republican Party outcome near 75 percent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$19,551Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District heading into the August 11 primaries and November general election. The agriculture-focused southern Minnesota seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and receives Likely Republican or Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Finstad won his most recent general election with 58.5 percent. Early 2026 polling showed a narrower race, with one Democratic-sponsored survey placing him at 44 percent against Democratic primary candidate Jake Johnson at 41 percent, while a later Republican-sponsored poll had Finstad ahead 52-42. Traders appear to weigh the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s partisan baseline more heavily than those initial surveys when pricing the Republican Party outcome near 75 percent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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