Incumbent Republican Rich McCormick faces Democrat Tony Kozycki in Georgia’s 7th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with the race centered on suburban and exurban areas north of Atlanta. McCormick secured his primary without opposition while Kozycki prevailed in a Democratic runoff, leaving both nominees with strong name recognition from prior service as military veterans. The district delivered McCormick a 65% win in 2024, yet national midterm dynamics—typically unfavorable to the president’s party—along with ongoing generic ballot trends keep the precise victory margin uncertain. Traders see balanced probabilities across narrow Republican advantage buckets and a Democratic upset option, reflecting limited polling data, variable turnout patterns among suburban voters, and the absence of major late-cycle catalysts that could widen the gap.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRepublican 35%+ 36%
Republican 30-35% 36%
Republican 25-30% 36%
Republican 20-25% 36%

Republican 35%+
36%

Republican 30-35%
36%

Republican 25-30%
36%

Republican 20-25%
36%

Republican 15-20%
36%

Republican 10-15%
36%

Republican 5-10%
36%

Republican 0-5%
36%

Democrat Wins
36%
Republican 35%+ 36%
Republican 30-35% 36%
Republican 25-30% 36%
Republican 20-25% 36%

Republican 35%+
36%

Republican 30-35%
36%

Republican 25-30%
36%

Republican 20-25%
36%

Republican 15-20%
36%

Republican 10-15%
36%

Republican 5-10%
36%

Republican 0-5%
36%

Democrat Wins
36%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Republican Rich McCormick faces Democrat Tony Kozycki in Georgia’s 7th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with the race centered on suburban and exurban areas north of Atlanta. McCormick secured his primary without opposition while Kozycki prevailed in a Democratic runoff, leaving both nominees with strong name recognition from prior service as military veterans. The district delivered McCormick a 65% win in 2024, yet national midterm dynamics—typically unfavorable to the president’s party—along with ongoing generic ballot trends keep the precise victory margin uncertain. Traders see balanced probabilities across narrow Republican advantage buckets and a Democratic upset option, reflecting limited polling data, variable turnout patterns among suburban voters, and the absence of major late-cycle catalysts that could widen the gap.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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