Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a closely contested battleground for the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic nominee holding a market edge after the August 4 primaries. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin, faces Democrat William Lawrence, a progressive activist and Sunrise Movement co-founder who prevailed in a three-way primary over rivals with national security backgrounds. The district, centered on the Lansing-East Lansing area including Ingham County and Michigan State University, features competitive voting patterns that often favor Democrats in midterm cycles. Recent polling before the primary showed a near tie, while national midterm dynamics and turnout among younger and suburban voters continue to shape trader assessments of the race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMI-07 Wahlsieger
MI-07 Wahlsieger
$17,127 Vol.
$17,127 Vol.
4. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
64%
Republikanische Partei
36%
$17,127 Vol.
$17,127 Vol.
4. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$11,746 Vol.
64%
Republikanische Partei
$5,381 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a closely contested battleground for the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic nominee holding a market edge after the August 4 primaries. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin, faces Democrat William Lawrence, a progressive activist and Sunrise Movement co-founder who prevailed in a three-way primary over rivals with national security backgrounds. The district, centered on the Lansing-East Lansing area including Ingham County and Michigan State University, features competitive voting patterns that often favor Democrats in midterm cycles. Recent polling before the primary showed a near tie, while national midterm dynamics and turnout among younger and suburban voters continue to shape trader assessments of the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$17,127Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a closely contested battleground for the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic nominee holding a market edge after the August 4 primaries. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin, faces Democrat William Lawrence, a progressive activist and Sunrise Movement co-founder who prevailed in a three-way primary over rivals with national security backgrounds. The district, centered on the Lansing-East Lansing area including Ingham County and Michigan State University, features competitive voting patterns that often favor Democrats in midterm cycles. Recent polling before the primary showed a near tie, while national midterm dynamics and turnout among younger and suburban voters continue to shape trader assessments of the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,127Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a closely contested battleground for the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic nominee holding a market edge after the August 4 primaries. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin, faces Democrat William Lawrence, a progressive activist and Sunrise Movement co-founder who prevailed in a three-way primary over rivals with national security backgrounds. The district, centered on the Lansing-East Lansing area including Ingham County and Michigan State University, features competitive voting patterns that often favor Democrats in midterm cycles. Recent polling before the primary showed a near tie, while national midterm dynamics and turnout among younger and suburban voters continue to shape trader assessments of the race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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