Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh keep minimum temperatures in Lucknow near 25–27°C for September 12, with official guidance from IMD and multiple models showing no large change from recent 26°C lows. Rainfall probabilities of 60–70% and high humidity moderate overnight cooling by trapping heat and reducing radiative loss, while any breaks in cloud or lighter winds could allow brief drops toward 23–24°C. Conversely, persistent moisture and weak steering patterns support sustained warmth near or above 27°C. Model spread on exact timing of showers and local urban heat effects sustains near-even market odds between sub-22°C and 28°C+ outcomes, with updated IMD briefings and next 48-hour runs likely to shift sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 12. September?
21°C oder weniger 97%
31°C oder höher 94%
27°C 48%
22°C 39%
21°C oder weniger
97%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26 °C
21%
27°C
28%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C oder höher
94%
21°C oder weniger 97%
31°C oder höher 94%
27°C 48%
22°C 39%
21°C oder weniger
97%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26 °C
21%
27°C
28%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C oder höher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh keep minimum temperatures in Lucknow near 25–27°C for September 12, with official guidance from IMD and multiple models showing no large change from recent 26°C lows. Rainfall probabilities of 60–70% and high humidity moderate overnight cooling by trapping heat and reducing radiative loss, while any breaks in cloud or lighter winds could allow brief drops toward 23–24°C. Conversely, persistent moisture and weak steering patterns support sustained warmth near or above 27°C. Model spread on exact timing of showers and local urban heat effects sustains near-even market odds between sub-22°C and 28°C+ outcomes, with updated IMD briefings and next 48-hour runs likely to shift sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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