Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C for Istanbul on September 16, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and light showers that limit radiational cooling overnight. These conditions align with seasonal norms for mid-September and keep the lowest reading well below 23°C. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C or higher at 41.5% likely reflect trader emphasis on model spread, possible warmer boundary-layer air, or verification nuances around the exact 24-hour window. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations from local stations will clarify whether the minimum settles near 17–18°C or trends higher, directly influencing resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 16. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 16. September?
23°C oder höher 89%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
16 °C 40%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
13°C oder weniger
24%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16 °C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
24%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C oder höher
89%
23°C oder höher 89%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
16 °C 40%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
13°C oder weniger
$117 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16 °C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$33 Vol.
22%
18°C
$39 Vol.
24%
19°C
$33 Vol.
22%
20°C
$38 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C for Istanbul on September 16, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and light showers that limit radiational cooling overnight. These conditions align with seasonal norms for mid-September and keep the lowest reading well below 23°C. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C or higher at 41.5% likely reflect trader emphasis on model spread, possible warmer boundary-layer air, or verification nuances around the exact 24-hour window. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations from local stations will clarify whether the minimum settles near 17–18°C or trends higher, directly influencing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$260Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C for Istanbul on September 16, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and light showers that limit radiational cooling overnight. These conditions align with seasonal norms for mid-September and keep the lowest reading well below 23°C. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C or higher at 41.5% likely reflect trader emphasis on model spread, possible warmer boundary-layer air, or verification nuances around the exact 24-hour window. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations from local stations will clarify whether the minimum settles near 17–18°C or trends higher, directly influencing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$260Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C for Istanbul on September 16, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and light showers that limit radiational cooling overnight. These conditions align with seasonal norms for mid-September and keep the lowest reading well below 23°C. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C or higher at 41.5% likely reflect trader emphasis on model spread, possible warmer boundary-layer air, or verification nuances around the exact 24-hour window. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations from local stations will clarify whether the minimum settles near 17–18°C or trends higher, directly influencing resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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