As South Korea’s incumbent president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional protections that suspend ongoing criminal proceedings—covering election-law violations, development-project corruption, public-fund misuse, and alleged remittances to North Korea—except in cases of insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed these trials, with resumption expected only after his term ends in 2030. Recent legislative changes separating investigative and prosecutorial functions have further limited avenues for new actions. No verified developments in the past several months indicate imminent arrest proceedings or extraordinary circumstances that would override immunity within the brief window before 2027. Traders’ strong consensus on the “No” outcome reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of active legal escalations.