OpenAI’s $122 billion private funding round at an $852 billion valuation in March 2026, followed by a $7 billion secondary tender offer in August, anchors trader expectations for a modest IPO primary raise. With annualized revenue near $24 billion and confidential SEC filing completed in June, the company has secured substantial capital and employee liquidity without immediate public-market dependence. Recent signals of a potential 2027 debut rather than late-2026 listing further temper assumptions of a large simultaneous capital raise. Market-implied odds favoring sub-$30 billion (41.8%) reflect this reduced urgency, while mid-range tranches capture scenarios tied to competitive positioning against peers and ongoing cash burn. Upcoming catalysts include any disclosed S-1 details or shifts in monetization trends that could adjust primary proceeds targets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 40.2%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
<$30B
40%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
24%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
19%
<$30B 40.2%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
<$30B
40%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
24%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
19%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s $122 billion private funding round at an $852 billion valuation in March 2026, followed by a $7 billion secondary tender offer in August, anchors trader expectations for a modest IPO primary raise. With annualized revenue near $24 billion and confidential SEC filing completed in June, the company has secured substantial capital and employee liquidity without immediate public-market dependence. Recent signals of a potential 2027 debut rather than late-2026 listing further temper assumptions of a large simultaneous capital raise. Market-implied odds favoring sub-$30 billion (41.8%) reflect this reduced urgency, while mid-range tranches capture scenarios tied to competitive positioning against peers and ongoing cash burn. Upcoming catalysts include any disclosed S-1 details or shifts in monetization trends that could adjust primary proceeds targets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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