Vince Gilligan’s Apple TV+ sci-fi drama “Pluribus” earned 18 Emmy nominations in July 2026—the strongest debut haul for any of his series—including bids for Outstanding Drama Series, lead actress Rhea Seehorn, and supporting actress Karolina Wydra. This volume of recognition drives trader consensus toward 2-3 wins at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting strong critical and guild momentum while acknowledging competition from frontrunners like “The Pitt.” Historical patterns show first-season Gilligan projects rarely sweep categories, and precursor results plus category-specific forecasts indicate realistic ceilings around technical, writing, and acting nods. The September ceremony remains the key catalyst that could shift outcomes if late voter sentiment favors the newcomer.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHow many Emmys will “Pluribus” win?
How many Emmys will “Pluribus” win?
2-3 57%
0-1 28%
4-5 16%
10+ <1%
NEU
$13,902 Vol.
NEU
$13,902 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
0-1
28%
2-3
57%
4-5
16%
6-7
<1%
8-9
<1%
10+
<1%
2-3 57%
0-1 28%
4-5 16%
10+ <1%
NEU
$13,902 Vol.
NEU
$13,902 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
0-1
$3,912 Vol.
28%
2-3
$3,343 Vol.
57%
4-5
$3,614 Vol.
16%
6-7
$1,575 Vol.
<1%
8-9
$877 Vol.
<1%
10+
$582 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vince Gilligan’s Apple TV+ sci-fi drama “Pluribus” earned 18 Emmy nominations in July 2026—the strongest debut haul for any of his series—including bids for Outstanding Drama Series, lead actress Rhea Seehorn, and supporting actress Karolina Wydra. This volume of recognition drives trader consensus toward 2-3 wins at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting strong critical and guild momentum while acknowledging competition from frontrunners like “The Pitt.” Historical patterns show first-season Gilligan projects rarely sweep categories, and precursor results plus category-specific forecasts indicate realistic ceilings around technical, writing, and acting nods. The September ceremony remains the key catalyst that could shift outcomes if late voter sentiment favors the newcomer.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volumen
$13,902Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vince Gilligan’s Apple TV+ sci-fi drama “Pluribus” earned 18 Emmy nominations in July 2026—the strongest debut haul for any of his series—including bids for Outstanding Drama Series, lead actress Rhea Seehorn, and supporting actress Karolina Wydra. This volume of recognition drives trader consensus toward 2-3 wins at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting strong critical and guild momentum while acknowledging competition from frontrunners like “The Pitt.” Historical patterns show first-season Gilligan projects rarely sweep categories, and precursor results plus category-specific forecasts indicate realistic ceilings around technical, writing, and acting nods. The September ceremony remains the key catalyst that could shift outcomes if late voter sentiment favors the newcomer.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$13,902Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vince Gilligan’s Apple TV+ sci-fi drama “Pluribus” earned 18 Emmy nominations in July 2026—the strongest debut haul for any of his series—including bids for Outstanding Drama Series, lead actress Rhea Seehorn, and supporting actress Karolina Wydra. This volume of recognition drives trader consensus toward 2-3 wins at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting strong critical and guild momentum while acknowledging competition from frontrunners like “The Pitt.” Historical patterns show first-season Gilligan projects rarely sweep categories, and precursor results plus category-specific forecasts indicate realistic ceilings around technical, writing, and acting nods. The September ceremony remains the key catalyst that could shift outcomes if late voter sentiment favors the newcomer.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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