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icon for Holborn und St. Pancras By-Election Gewinner
Politik·Vereinigtes Königreich

Holborn und St. Pancras By-Election Gewinner

icon for Holborn und St. Pancras By-Election Gewinner
Politik·Vereinigtes Königreich

Holborn und St. Pancras By-Election Gewinner

Sagal Abdi-Wali 71%

Zack Polanski 25%

Pat Callaghan 2.8%

Gio Spinella 2.6%

Polymarket

$13,928 Vol.

Sagal Abdi-Wali 71%

Zack Polanski 25%

Pat Callaghan 2.8%

Gio Spinella 2.6%

Polymarket

$13,928 Vol.

icon for Sagal Abdi-Wali

Sagal Abdi-Wali

$2,450 Vol.

71%

icon for Zack Polanski

Zack Polanski

$5,258 Vol.

25%

icon for Pat Callaghan

Pat Callaghan

$199 Vol.

3%

icon for Gio Spinella

Gio Spinella

$202 Vol.

3%

icon for Richard Olszewski

Richard Olszewski

$219 Vol.

2%

icon for Andrew Feinstein

Andrew Feinstein

$1,671 Vol.

2%

icon for Hamza Chowdhury

Hamza Chowdhury

$219 Vol.

2%

icon for Tricia Leman

Tricia Leman

$199 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Hayward

Sarah Hayward

$181 Vol.

2%

icon for James White

James White

$198 Vol.

2%

icon for Keith Moffitt

Keith Moffitt

$249 Vol.

1%

icon for Lorna Jane Russell

Lorna Jane Russell

$181 Vol.

1%

icon for Luisa Porritt

Luisa Porritt

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for David Stansell

David Stansell

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Georgia Gould

Georgia Gould

$741 Vol.

1%

icon for Jim Monahan

Jim Monahan

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Siân Berry

Siân Berry

$187 Vol.

1%

icon for Mehreen Malik

Mehreen Malik

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Adam Harrison

Adam Harrison

$181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Clinton

Charlie Clinton

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oliver Cooper

Oliver Cooper

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Roberts

David Roberts

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sarah Pochin

Sarah Pochin

$199 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Sagal Abdi-Wali leads the market at 71% as the frontrunner for Labour's nomination in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, triggered by Keir Starmer's resignation as MP on 1 September 2026. As Camden Council leader and a locally prominent figure with prior ties to the constituency party, her selection on 9 September would position Labour to retain the seat it has held continuously since 1983. Green Party leader Zack Polanski's confirmed candidacy at 24.5% reflects the party's recent local gains in overlapping Camden wards, though historical results show Labour maintaining substantial margins even amid national shifts. Lower-priced candidates face structural barriers in this urban constituency, where party resources and voter patterns favor the main contenders. The by-election date remains pending the formal writ process.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$13,928
Enddatum
1. Juli 2027
Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Sagal Abdi-Wali leads the market at 71% as the frontrunner for Labour's nomination in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, triggered by Keir Starmer's resignation as MP on 1 September 2026. As Camden Council leader and a locally prominent figure with prior ties to the constituency party, her selection on 9 September would position Labour to retain the seat it has held continuously since 1983. Green Party leader Zack Polanski's confirmed candidacy at 24.5% reflects the party's recent local gains in overlapping Camden wards, though historical results show Labour maintaining substantial margins even amid national shifts. Lower-priced candidates face structural barriers in this urban constituency, where party resources and voter patterns favor the main contenders. The by-election date remains pending the formal writ process.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$13,928
Enddatum
1. Juli 2027
Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Wird es im Jahr 2026 genau 6 Nachwahlverfahren zum britischen Parlament geben?

69%
Ja
icon for Wird Fabio Roscioli die nächste Nachwahl in Reggio di Calabria gewinnen?

Wird Fabio Roscioli die nächste Nachwahl in Reggio di Calabria gewinnen?

77%
Ja
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Noch eine Nachwahl in Clacton im Jahr 2026 ausgerufen?

44%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Holborn und St. Pancras By-Election Gewinner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 23 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Sagal Abdi-Wali" mit 71%, gefolgt von „Zack Polanski" mit 25%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 71¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 71% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Holborn und St. Pancras By-Election Gewinner" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $13.9K generiert, seit der Markt am Sep 1, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Holborn und St. Pancras By-Election Gewinner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 23 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Holborn und St. Pancras By-Election Gewinner" ist „Sagal Abdi-Wali" mit 71%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 71% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Zack Polanski" mit 25%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Holborn und St. Pancras By-Election Gewinner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.