Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 25–26°C for Incheon on September 12 under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly to westerly winds under 5 m/s, and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the market closely split between those two outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge extending from northeastern China maintains mild late-summer conditions with moderate humidity (50–60 %) and limited diurnal mixing, so small differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology for the region shows similar transitional patterns, where weak steering flow and variable insolation create genuine uncertainty resolved only by the final observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 12. September?
25°C 38%
26°C 34%
24°C 11%
27°C 11%
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
11%
25°C
38%
26°C
34%
27°C
11%
28°C
4%
29°C oder höher
3%
25°C 38%
26°C 34%
24°C 11%
27°C 11%
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
11%
25°C
38%
26°C
34%
27°C
11%
28°C
4%
29°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 25–26°C for Incheon on September 12 under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly to westerly winds under 5 m/s, and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the market closely split between those two outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge extending from northeastern China maintains mild late-summer conditions with moderate humidity (50–60 %) and limited diurnal mixing, so small differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology for the region shows similar transitional patterns, where weak steering flow and variable insolation create genuine uncertainty resolved only by the final observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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