Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 26. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 26. Juli?
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
32°C 23%
31°C 13%
NEU
NEU
26. Juli 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
23%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
8%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
32°C 23%
31°C 13%
NEU
NEU
26. Juli 2026
26°C or below
$351 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$27 Vol.
1%
29°C
$401 Vol.
3%
30°C
$136 Vol.
6%
31°C
$94 Vol.
13%
32°C
$113 Vol.
23%
33°C
$128 Vol.
29%
34°C
$503 Vol.
28%
35°C
$86 Vol.
8%
36°C or higher
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,981Enddatum
26. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,981Enddatum
26. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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