Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 12 point to a daily maximum near 32°C under persistent high-pressure systems and sunny conditions, aligning with the market's strong 66% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-August climatology in the region typically yields highs of 30–32°C, with recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and BBC showing limited day-to-day variability and no significant heat advection or cooling fronts expected. Traders appear to weigh this stability heavily against minor forecast spreads that could push readings to 31°C or 33°C, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in precise maximum temperature resolution amid diurnal heating patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 12. August?
32°C 66%
31°C 19%
33°C 13%
34°C 1.2%
$15,472 Vol.
$15,472 Vol.
27°C oder niedriger
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
19%
32°C
66%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder mehr
<1%
32°C 66%
31°C 19%
33°C 13%
34°C 1.2%
$15,472 Vol.
$15,472 Vol.
27°C oder niedriger
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
19%
32°C
66%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder mehr
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 12 point to a daily maximum near 32°C under persistent high-pressure systems and sunny conditions, aligning with the market's strong 66% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-August climatology in the region typically yields highs of 30–32°C, with recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and BBC showing limited day-to-day variability and no significant heat advection or cooling fronts expected. Traders appear to weigh this stability heavily against minor forecast spreads that could push readings to 31°C or 33°C, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in precise maximum temperature resolution amid diurnal heating patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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