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icon for Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger
Welt·Kanada

Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger

icon for Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger
Welt·Kanada

Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger

Eric Girard 51%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin 45%

Julie Tourangeau 2.5%

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 1.2%

Polymarket
NEU

Eric Girard 51%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin 45%

Julie Tourangeau 2.5%

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 1.2%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Eric Girard

Eric Girard

$1,001 Vol.

64%

icon for Marie-Claude Sarrazin

Marie-Claude Sarrazin

$414 Vol.

45%

icon for Julie Tourangeau

Julie Tourangeau

$200 Vol.

3%

icon for Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

$190 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Eric Girard, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec member and Quebec finance minister, holds the strongest position in the Groulx riding for the October 5, 2026, provincial election. His re-election bids since 2018 have produced consistent majorities in this Laurentides constituency, supported by the party's established organization and record on economic management. Marie-Claude Sarrazin, the Parti Québécois nominee announced in late August, brings visibility from her role as counsel in the SAAQclic public inquiry, allowing the party to emphasize accountability and fiscal oversight as contrasts to the governing record. Recent polling aggregates project a CAQ win probability near 70 percent, with other candidates from the Liberals, Québec solidaire, and Conservatives trailing further behind. The short campaign window leaves limited scope for additional shifts before ballots close.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$1,805
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Eric Girard, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec member and Quebec finance minister, holds the strongest position in the Groulx riding for the October 5, 2026, provincial election. His re-election bids since 2018 have produced consistent majorities in this Laurentides constituency, supported by the party's established organization and record on economic management. Marie-Claude Sarrazin, the Parti Québécois nominee announced in late August, brings visibility from her role as counsel in the SAAQclic public inquiry, allowing the party to emphasize accountability and fiscal oversight as contrasts to the governing record. Recent polling aggregates project a CAQ win probability near 70 percent, with other candidates from the Liberals, Québec solidaire, and Conservatives trailing further behind. The short campaign window leaves limited scope for additional shifts before ballots close.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$1,805
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Eric Girard" mit 64%, gefolgt von „Marie-Claude Sarrazin" mit 45%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 64¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 64% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger" ist „Eric Girard" mit 64%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 64% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Marie-Claude Sarrazin" mit 45%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Groulx Quebec National Assembly Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.