The Socialist Party’s July 2026 membership vote for a closed primary limited to its own ranks and aligned social-democratic partners ended participation in the planned October 11 united left primary, prompting key organizers including Clémentine Autain to withdraw and Marine Tondelier to declare the process buried. La France Insoumise and Place Publique had already opted out, leaving only smaller components such as Les Écologistes and Debout! without the broader coalition needed to proceed. This sequence of institutional decisions and candidate exits has produced the current trader consensus that the primary will be canceled. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether any last-minute procedural reversal or agreement among the diminished participants could still force a vote before the scheduled date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFrance United Left Primary Winner
France United Left Primary Winner
Abgesagt 93.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$212,616 Vol.
$212,616 Vol.
10. Okt. 2026
Abgesagt
94%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Abgesagt 93.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$212,616 Vol.
$212,616 Vol.
10. Okt. 2026
Abgesagt
$76,903 Vol.
94%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 Vol.
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Vol.
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party’s July 2026 membership vote for a closed primary limited to its own ranks and aligned social-democratic partners ended participation in the planned October 11 united left primary, prompting key organizers including Clémentine Autain to withdraw and Marine Tondelier to declare the process buried. La France Insoumise and Place Publique had already opted out, leaving only smaller components such as Les Écologistes and Debout! without the broader coalition needed to proceed. This sequence of institutional decisions and candidate exits has produced the current trader consensus that the primary will be canceled. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether any last-minute procedural reversal or agreement among the diminished participants could still force a vote before the scheduled date.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volumen
$212,616Enddatum
11. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party’s July 2026 membership vote for a closed primary limited to its own ranks and aligned social-democratic partners ended participation in the planned October 11 united left primary, prompting key organizers including Clémentine Autain to withdraw and Marine Tondelier to declare the process buried. La France Insoumise and Place Publique had already opted out, leaving only smaller components such as Les Écologistes and Debout! without the broader coalition needed to proceed. This sequence of institutional decisions and candidate exits has produced the current trader consensus that the primary will be canceled. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether any last-minute procedural reversal or agreement among the diminished participants could still force a vote before the scheduled date.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$212,616Enddatum
11. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party’s July 2026 membership vote for a closed primary limited to its own ranks and aligned social-democratic partners ended participation in the planned October 11 united left primary, prompting key organizers including Clémentine Autain to withdraw and Marine Tondelier to declare the process buried. La France Insoumise and Place Publique had already opted out, leaving only smaller components such as Les Écologistes and Debout! without the broader coalition needed to proceed. This sequence of institutional decisions and candidate exits has produced the current trader consensus that the primary will be canceled. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether any last-minute procedural reversal or agreement among the diminished participants could still force a vote before the scheduled date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird Raphael Glucksmann die Nominierung der Sozialistischen Partei gewinnen, um bei den französischen Präsidentschaftswahlen 2027 anzutreten?
66%
Ja
Will Union Centriste hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
36%
Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
95%
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen