The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert140-159 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$2,953,704 Vol.
$2,953,704 Vol.
<20
Nein
20-39
Nein
40-59
Nein
60-79
Nein
80-99
Nein
100-119
Nein
120-139
Nein
140-159
Ja
160-179
Nein
180-199
Nein
200-219
Nein
220-239
Nein
240-259
Nein
260-279
Nein
280-299
Nein
300–319
Nein
320-339
Nein
340-359
Nein
360–379
Nein
380-399
Nein
400-419
Nein
420–439
Nein
440-459
Nein
460-479
Nein
480–499
Nein
500+
Nein
140-159 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$2,953,704 Vol.
$2,953,704 Vol.
<20
Nein
20-39
Nein
40-59
Nein
60-79
Nein
80-99
Nein
100-119
Nein
120-139
Nein
140-159
Ja
160-179
Nein
180-199
Nein
200-219
Nein
220-239
Nein
240-259
Nein
260-279
Nein
280-299
Nein
300–319
Nein
320-339
Nein
340-359
Nein
360–379
Nein
380-399
Nein
400-419
Nein
420–439
Nein
440-459
Nein
460-479
Nein
480–499
Nein
500+
Nein
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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